Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Young Africans vs Alliance

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, Dar es Salaam
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Nchimbi D.
78' Event
Nchimbi D.

AI Match Summary

Young Africans in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Young Africans.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Young Africans
30%
Draws
27%
Alliance
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Young Africans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Alliance haven't matched Young Africans's recent run of results.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Young Africans taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Young Africans here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Young Africans Clean Sheet 20%
Alliance Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Young Africans Alliance
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 25 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 2 14
Goals Scored 2.19 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.47 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 29, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans vs Alliance
2:0
Nov 29, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Alliance vs Young Africans
1:2
Mar 2, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Alliance vs Young Africans
0:1
Oct 20, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans vs Alliance
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Young Africans Compare

Top Goalscorer Nchimbi D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Alliance Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Young Africans 85 / 100
Alliance 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Young Africans Alliance

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Africans Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Young Africans scored in 94% of their last 32 games.

Alliance's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Young Africans went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Young Africans VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Young Africans

(Home)
15 Sept
Young Africans
1 : 0
Geita Gold
12 Sept
Young Africans
2 : 1
Gaborone Utd
05 Sept
Gaborone Utd
1 : 1
Young Africans
31 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Young Africans
28 Aug
Young Africans
2 : 0
Pamba
Page 1 of 7

Alliance

(Away)
26 Jul
Alliance
3 : 2
Namungo
23 Jul
Alliance
2 : 2
Ndanda
19 Jul
Simba
5 : 1
Alliance
15 Jul
JKT Tanzania
1 : 1
Alliance
09 Jul
Alliance
2 : 0
Lipuli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 38 27 7 4 78:21 88
2 Young Africans 38 19 15 4 45:28 72
3 Azam 38 20 10 8 52:26 70
4 Namungo 38 17 13 8 46:37 64
5 Polisi Tanzania 38 15 10 13 37:35 55
6 JKT Tanzania 38 13 15 10 34:32 54
7 Coastal Union 38 14 11 13 33:30 53
8 Kagera Sugar 38 15 7 16 44:41 52
9 Biashara Mara United 38 12 14 12 29:27 50
10 Tanzania Prisons 38 10 19 9 35:30 49
11 Mwadui 38 12 11 15 39:45 47
12 Ruvu Shooting 38 12 11 15 34:42 47
13 Kinondoni MC 38 13 7 18 35:47 46
14 Mtibwa Sugar 38 11 12 15 30:34 45
15 Mbeya City 38 12 9 17 33:42 45
16 Mbao 38 12 9 17 33:43 45
17 Alliance 38 11 12 15 36:48 45
18 Lipuli 38 12 8 18 43:51 44
19 Ndanda 38 9 14 15 28:35 41
20 Singida United 38 4 6 28 23:73 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)