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Stadium Background

Young Africans vs Coastal Union Prediction & H2H Stats

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Kangwanda A.
Assist: Boka C.
45' Event
Nzengeli M.
Assist: Zakouani H.
46'
Sub
Kichuya S. In: Gradi K.
Out: Kichuya S.

AI Match Summary

Young Africans in this Ligi Kuu Bara matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Young Africans.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Young Africans
20%
Draws
28%
Coastal Union
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Young Africans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Young Africans lately — more wins on the board than Coastal Union.
  • Young Africans are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Young Africans here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Young Africans Clean Sheet 20%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Young Africans Coastal Union
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 24 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 2 11
Goals Scored 2.39 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.48 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans vs Coastal Union
4:1
May 9, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans vs Coastal Union
3:0
Dec 7, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Young Africans
0:1
Apr 7, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans vs Coastal Union
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Young Africans
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Young Africans Compare

Top Goalscorer Kangwanda A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nzengeli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Coastal Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Gradi K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Young Africans 85 / 100
Coastal Union 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Young Africans Coastal Union

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Africans Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Young Africans's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Coastal Union let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Young Africans stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Young Africans VS Coastal Union
2.75 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Young Africans

(Home)
15 Sept
Young Africans
1 : 0
Geita Gold
12 Sept
Young Africans
2 : 1
Gaborone Utd
05 Sept
Gaborone Utd
1 : 1
Young Africans
31 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Young Africans
28 Aug
Young Africans
2 : 0
Pamba
Page 1 of 7

Coastal Union

(Away)
12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1
JKT Tanzania
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2
Coastal Union
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0
Coastal Union
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1
TRA United
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1
Coastal Union
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 6 6 0 0 16:2 18
2 Simba 6 6 0 0 11:2 18
3 Azam 7 4 2 1 11:7 14
4 Singida Black Stars 6 3 1 2 13:9 10
5 Polisi Tanzania 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
6 Mbeya City 6 3 1 2 6:4 10
7 Dodoma Jiji 6 3 1 2 4:4 10
8 Mashujaa 6 3 0 3 6:6 9
9 Geita Gold 6 2 1 3 9:8 7
10 JKT Tanzania 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
11 Coastal Union 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 TRA United 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
13 Namungo 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
14 Fountain Gate 6 1 1 4 2:9 4
15 Kagera Sugar 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
16 Pamba 6 0 1 5 4:13 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)