Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium

Coastal Union

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Young Africans play Coastal Union in the Ligi Kuu Bara. Young Africans are favorites here. Recently, Young Africans averaged 2.24 goals scored and 0.47 conceded. Coastal Union averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Young Africans won 5, Coastal Union won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Young Africans and 1.06 for Coastal Union. This points to a Young Africans double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%

Young Africans

16%

Draws

26%

Coastal Union

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Young Africans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence

Young Africans picked up more points recently compared to Coastal Union.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Young Africans Clean Sheet 22%

Coastal Union Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Young Africans	Coastal Union
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	24	10
Draws	6	9
Losses	4	11
Goals Scored	2.24	1.07
Goals Conceded	0.47	1.23
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Young Africans vs Coastal Union

Possession: 58% - 51% Cards: 1 - 0

3:0

Dec 7, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Coastal Union vs Young Africans

Possession: 58% - 41% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Apr 7, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Young Africans vs Coastal Union

Possession: 57% - 55% Cards: 4 - 3

1:0

Oct 26, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Coastal Union vs Young Africans

Possession: 50% - 51% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Apr 27, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Young Africans vs Coastal Union

Possession: 59% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Young Africans Compare

Top Goalscorer Okello A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Nzengeli M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.83

Avg xA / game 1.19

Coastal Union Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Young Africans 57 / 100

Coastal Union 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Young Africans Coastal Union

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Africans Win (1)

Secondary Pick Young Africans & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16%

2.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Young Africans attacking → ← attacking Coastal Union

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Young Africans scored in 85% of their last 34 games.

Coastal Union let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Young Africans went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Coastal Union lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

78 Points in last 5 39

2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9