Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Young Africans vs Coastal Union

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, Dar es Salaam
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Okello A.
Assist: Dube P.
34'
Maulid M.
58'
Sub
Khamis S. In: Damaro M.
Out: Khamis S.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 game between Young Africans and Coastal Union finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Young Africans.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Young Africans
20%
Draws
28%
Coastal Union
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Young Africans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Young Africans carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Young Africans's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Young Africans here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Young Africans Clean Sheet 68%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Young Africans Coastal Union
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 25 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 2.16 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.44 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans vs Coastal Union
4:1
May 9, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans vs Coastal Union
3:0
Dec 7, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Young Africans
0:1
Apr 7, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans vs Coastal Union
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Young Africans
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Young Africans Compare

Top Goalscorer Okello A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nzengeli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Coastal Union Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Young Africans 95 / 100
Coastal Union 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Young Africans Coastal Union

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Africans Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Young Africans's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Coastal Union let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Young Africans stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Young Africans VS Coastal Union
2.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Young Africans

(Home)
15 Sept
Young Africans
1 : 0
Geita Gold
12 Sept
Young Africans
2 : 1
Gaborone Utd
05 Sept
Gaborone Utd
1 : 1
Young Africans
31 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Young Africans
28 Aug
Young Africans
2 : 0
Pamba
Page 1 of 7

Coastal Union

(Away)
12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1
JKT Tanzania
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2
Coastal Union
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0
Coastal Union
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1
TRA United
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1
Coastal Union
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 23 6 1 71:9 75
2 Simba 30 22 7 1 54:11 73
3 Azam 30 18 10 2 46:12 64
4 Singida Black Stars 30 15 5 10 47:35 50
5 TRA United 30 11 10 9 33:28 43
6 JKT Tanzania 30 10 12 8 30:33 42
7 Pamba 30 9 9 12 32:35 36
8 Coastal Union 30 9 9 12 31:37 36
9 Dodoma Jiji 30 8 11 11 25:36 35
10 Namungo 30 7 13 10 25:32 34
11 Mashujaa 30 7 12 11 15:27 33
12 Fountain Gate 30 9 6 15 25:44 33
13 Tanzania Prisons 30 9 5 16 23:41 32
14 Mbeya City 30 7 9 14 24:41 30
15 Mtibwa Sugar 30 6 9 15 25:48 27
16 Kinondoni MC 30 2 3 25 16:53 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)