Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Young Africans vs Gwambina

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, Dar es Salaam
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Nchimbi D.
Assist: Kaseke D.
49' Event
Stephen J.
Assist: Athumani R.
52' Event
Mwamnyeto B.
Assist: do Carmo C.

AI Match Summary

Young Africans in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Young Africans.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Young Africans
20%
Draws
19%
Gwambina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Young Africans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Young Africans have won more games recently than Gwambina.
  • Model gives Young Africans a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Young Africans Clean Sheet 68%
Gwambina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Young Africans Gwambina
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 24 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 2.16 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.47 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans vs Gwambina
3:1
Nov 3, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Gwambina vs Young Africans
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Young Africans Compare

Top Goalscorer Nchimbi D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mwamnyeto B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Gwambina Compare

Top Goalscorer Stephen J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Young Africans 95 / 100
Gwambina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Young Africans Gwambina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Africans Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Young Africans found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).

Young Africans has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Gwambina conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Young Africans VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Young Africans

(Home)
15 Sept
Young Africans
1 : 0
Geita Gold
12 Sept
Young Africans
2 : 1
Gaborone Utd
05 Sept
Gaborone Utd
1 : 1
Young Africans
31 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Young Africans
28 Aug
Young Africans
2 : 0
Pamba
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Gwambina

(Away)
18 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 1
Gwambina
15 Jul
Mbeya City
1 : 0
Gwambina
23 Jun
Gwambina
2 : 0
Dodoma Jiji
18 Jun
Azam
4 : 1
Gwambina
26 May
Namungo
1 : 0
Gwambina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 34 26 5 3 78:14 83
2 Young Africans 34 21 11 2 52:21 74
3 Azam 34 19 11 4 50:22 68
4 Biashara Mara United 34 13 11 10 28:32 50
5 Kinondoni MC 34 13 9 12 39:27 48
6 Polisi Tanzania 34 10 15 9 29:27 45
7 Tanzania Prisons 34 10 14 10 25:25 44
8 Dodoma Jiji 34 11 11 12 28:31 44
9 Namungo 34 10 13 11 24:31 43
10 Mbeya City 34 10 12 12 30:33 42
11 Ruvu Shooting 34 11 8 15 34:38 41
12 Kagera Sugar 34 10 10 14 34:38 40
13 Coastal Union 34 10 10 14 29:46 40
14 Mtibwa Sugar 34 10 9 15 21:31 39
15 JKT Tanzania 34 11 6 17 34:47 39
16 Gwambina 34 8 11 15 29:37 35
17 Singida Black Stars 34 9 8 17 22:41 35
18 Mwadui 34 5 4 25 24:69 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)