Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Young Africans vs Mbeya Kwanza

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, Dar es Salaam
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Mayele F.
Assist: Abubakar S.
39' Event
Ntibazonkiza S.
Assist: Aucho K.
45' Event
Ambundo D.
Assist: Moloko D.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 game between Young Africans and Mbeya Kwanza finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Young Africans.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Young Africans
15%
Draws
0%
Mbeya Kwanza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Young Africans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Young Africans carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Young Africans's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Young Africans Clean Sheet 68%
Mbeya Kwanza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Young Africans Mbeya Kwanza
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 25 4
Draws 5 6
Losses 2 20
Goals Scored 2.25 0.57
Goals Conceded 0.44 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans vs Mbeya Kwanza
4:0
Nov 30, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya Kwanza vs Young Africans
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Young Africans Compare

Top Goalscorer Mayele F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ntibazonkiza S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Mbeya Kwanza Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Young Africans 95 / 100
Mbeya Kwanza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Young Africans Mbeya Kwanza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Africans Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Young Africans found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (32 games).

Mbeya Kwanza has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Young Africans has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Mbeya Kwanza registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Young Africans VS Mbeya Kwanza
2.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Young Africans

(Home)
15 Sept
Young Africans
1 : 0
Geita Gold
12 Sept
Young Africans
2 : 1
Gaborone Utd
05 Sept
Gaborone Utd
1 : 1
Young Africans
31 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Young Africans
28 Aug
Young Africans
2 : 0
Pamba
Page 1 of 7

Mbeya Kwanza

(Away)
05 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
3 : 1
Mbeya Kwanza
28 Jun
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 4
Polisi Tanzania
13 Mar
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0
Mbeya Kwanza
26 May
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 2
Biashara Mara United
19 May
Biashara Mara United
2 : 0
Mbeya Kwanza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 22 8 0 49:8 74
2 Simba 30 17 10 3 41:14 61
3 Azam 30 14 7 9 41:28 49
4 Geita Gold 30 12 10 8 32:26 46
5 Namungo 30 10 11 9 42:34 41
6 Kagera Sugar 30 9 12 9 20:25 39
7 Coastal Union 30 10 8 12 22:31 38
8 Polisi Tanzania 30 8 13 9 21:23 37
9 Mbeya City 30 8 13 9 25:29 37
10 Kinondoni MC 30 8 11 11 34:35 35
11 Dodoma Jiji 30 9 8 13 25:37 35
12 Ruvu Shooting 30 8 10 12 28:39 34
13 Mtibwa Sugar 30 7 10 13 25:34 31
14 Tanzania Prisons 30 7 8 15 21:34 29
15 Biashara Mara United 30 5 13 12 23:35 28
16 Mbeya Kwanza 30 5 10 15 22:39 25
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 (Relegation)