Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Young Africans vs Simba

Tanzania Tanzania

Community Shield Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, Dar es Salaam
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Sub
Hamza A. In: Karaboue C.
Out: Hamza A.
32'
Boka C.
46'
Sub
Yahya M. In: Doumbia M.
Out: Yahya M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Young Africans
20%
Draws
38%
Simba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Young Africans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Simba come out ahead of Young Africans on wins alone.
  • Young Africans are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Simba arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Young Africans, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Young Africans Clean Sheet 68%
Simba Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Young Africans Simba
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 20 21
Draws 7 8
Losses 4 0
Goals Scored 2 1.79
Goals Conceded 0.48 0.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Young Africans
2:2
Mar 1, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans vs Simba
0:0
Sep 16, 2025 Community Shield
Young Africans vs Simba
1:0
Jun 25, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans vs Simba
2:0
Oct 19, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Young Africans
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Young Africans Compare

Top Goalscorer Zouzoua P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Simba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Young Africans 95 / 100
Simba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Young Africans Simba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Young Africans found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Young Africans stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Simba conceded in 28% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Young Africans VS Simba
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Young Africans

(Home)
30 Jun
JKT Tanzania
0 : 3
Young Africans
27 Jun
Young Africans
3 : 0
TRA United
24 Jun
Young Africans
3 : 0
Azam
21 Jun
Azam
3 : 2
Young Africans
18 Jun
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Young Africans
Page 1 of 7

Simba

(Away)
31 Jul
Singida Black Stars
1 : 2
Simba
28 Jul
Jamus
0 : 0
Simba
25 Jul
Simba
0 : 0
Mogadishu City
04 Jul
Simba
1 : 0
Azam
30 Jun
Simba
1 : 0
Kinondoni MC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Young Africans 1
Simba 0