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Young Boys II vs Bavois - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Urbano N.
40' Event
Urbano N.
(Penalty)
73' Event
Bega I.

AI Match Summary

The Promotion League game between Young Boys II and Bavois finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Young Boys II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Young Boys II
15%
Draws
0%
Bavois
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Young Boys II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bavois carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Young Boys II Clean Sheet 12%
Bavois Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Young Boys II Bavois
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.66 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Promotion League
Young Boys II vs Bavois
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 Promotion League
Bavois vs Young Boys II
0:0
Sep 27, 2025 Promotion League
Young Boys II vs Bavois
0:2
Apr 9, 2025 Promotion League
Bavois vs Young Boys II
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 Promotion League
Young Boys II vs Bavois
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Young Boys II Compare

Top Goalscorer Urbano N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Bavois Compare

Top Goalscorer Bega I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Young Boys II 29 / 100
Bavois 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Young Boys II Bavois

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Boys II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Bavois registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Young Boys II's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Bavois's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Young Boys II VS Bavois
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Young Boys II

(Home)
10 Oct
Young Boys II
1 : 3
Cham
03 Oct
Schaffhausen
6 : 3
Young Boys II
26 Sept
Young Boys II
0 : 2
Basel II
19 Sept
Amical Saint-Prex
2 : 2
Young Boys II
12 Sept
Young Boys II
2 : 1
Bavois
Page 1 of 6

Bavois

(Away)
10 Oct
Bavois
0 : 2
Amical Saint-Prex
03 Oct
Breitenrain
1 : 0
Bavois
26 Sept
Biel
2 : 0
Bavois
20 Sept
Bavois
0 : 1
Luzern II
12 Sept
Young Boys II
2 : 1
Bavois
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Biel 10 8 1 1 23:10 25
2 Schaffhausen 11 8 1 2 29:13 25
3 Cham 11 7 1 3 19:14 22
4 Bulle 11 6 3 2 24:16 21
5 Paradiso 11 6 2 3 22:11 20
6 Young Fellows Juventus 11 6 1 4 16:14 19
7 Grand-Saconnex 11 6 0 5 19:15 18
8 Amical Saint-Prex 11 5 1 5 16:22 16
9 Basel II 10 5 0 5 19:19 15
10 Zurich II 11 4 3 4 20:20 15
11 Breitenrain 11 4 3 4 15:17 15
12 Bruhl SG 11 4 2 5 13:15 14
13 FC Kreuzlingen 10 3 3 4 13:13 12
14 Young Boys II 11 3 2 6 21:30 11
15 Lugano II 10 3 0 7 15:22 9
16 Bavois 11 2 2 7 10:14 8
17 Luzern II 11 2 1 8 15:27 7
18 Bellinzona 11 1 2 8 7:24 5
Promotion - Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)