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Young Boys vs Basel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup Stadion Wankdorf, Bern
Tue, Dec 1, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Swiss Cup. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Young Boys have averaged 2.89 scored and 1.39 conceded recently, against Basel's 1.82 scored and 2.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Young Boys slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 3:3. The numbers (3.06 xG vs 2.00) point toward Young Boys. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Young Boys
15%
Draws
27%
Basel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Young Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Young Boys have won more games recently than Basel.
  • Model gives Young Boys a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Young Boys have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Young Boys, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Young Boys Clean Sheet 10%
Basel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Young Boys Basel
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 2.89 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Super League
Young Boys vs Basel
3:3
May 10, 2026 Super League
Young Boys vs Basel
3:0
Apr 4, 2026 Super League
Basel vs Young Boys
3:3
Nov 2, 2025 Super League
Young Boys vs Basel
0:0
Aug 6, 2025 Super League
Basel vs Young Boys
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Young Boys 83 / 100
Basel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Young Boys Basel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Boys Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Young Boys scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Basel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Young Boys went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Young Boys VS Basel
2.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Young Boys

(Home)
18 Oct
Taverne
0 : 5
Young Boys
11 Oct
Grasshoppers
0 : 2
Young Boys
02 Oct
Aarau
1 : 2
Young Boys
19 Sept
Young Boys
3 : 2
Servette
12 Sept
Lugano
2 : 2
Young Boys
Page 1 of 6

Basel

(Away)
16 Oct
Stade Nyonnais
0 : 3
Basel
11 Oct
Vaduz
3 : 0
Basel
03 Oct
Winterthur
7 : 3
Basel
20 Sept
Basel
1 : 3
St. Gallen
13 Sept
Luzern
2 : 4
Basel
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kaufdorf 0
Old Boys 5
Terre Sainte 0
Yverdon 5
Rorschach 2
Schaffhausen 4
FC Saxon-Sports 0
Thun 6
Mutschellen 3
FC Winkeln SG 4
Kosova Neuchatel 0
Lausanne 6
Courrendlin-Courroux 0
Grenchen 1
Regensdorf 0
Grasshoppers 5
Koniz 3
Munsingen 1
Wiesendangen 0
Bruhl SG 6
Biel 3
Aarau 4
Tuggen 1
Zurich 2
Young Fellows Juventus 1
Rapperswil-Jona 6
Thalwil 0
St. Gallen 3
Pully 2
Genolier-Begnins 0
Vedeggio 1
Lugano 10
FC Interlaken 1
Bulle 4
Rebstein 2
Wil 6
Zurich City SC 1
Winterthur 3
Buochs 0
Luzern 3
Taverne 2
Brunnen 1
Liestal 0
Young Boys 4
Amical Saint-Prex 1
Stade Nyonnais 3
Courtetelle 1
Basel 6
CS Italien 1
Lausanne Ouchy 8
Collex-Bossy 0
Etoile-Carouge 2
Cham 2
Kriens 0
Kerzers 1
Sion 6
FC Aesch 1
Langenthal 5
Meyrin 0
Xamax 1
Rotkreuz 4
Bellinzona 1
Bavois 0
Servette 7
1/16-finals
Old Boys 1
Yverdon 2
Schaffhausen 2
Thun 3
FC Winkeln SG 0
Lausanne 7
Grenchen 0
Grasshoppers 8
Koniz 0
Bruhl SG 2
Aarau 2
Zurich 0
Rapperswil-Jona 0
St. Gallen 2
Pully 0
Lugano 4
Bulle 0
Wil 1
Winterthur 0
Luzern 1
Taverne 0
Young Boys 5
Stade Nyonnais 0
Basel 3
Lausanne Ouchy 3
Etoile-Carouge 0
Cham 0
Sion 2
Langenthal 2
Xamax 3
Rotkreuz 0
Servette 4
1/8-finals
Yverdon -
Thun -
Lausanne -
Grasshoppers -
Bruhl SG -
Aarau -
St. Gallen -
Lugano -
Wil -
Luzern -
Young Boys -
Basel -
Lausanne Ouchy -
Sion -
Xamax -
Servette -
Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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