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Young Boys vs Basel

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League 2025/2026 Stadion Wankdorf, Bern
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Ruegg K.
27'
Valery Y.
49' Event
Pech D.
Assist: Males D.

AI Match Summary

Young Boys in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Young Boys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Young Boys
35%
Draws
28%
Basel
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Young Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Young Boys have won more games recently than Basel.
  • Win probability leans Young Boys's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Young Boys Clean Sheet 10%
Basel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Young Boys Basel
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 9 4
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 2.86 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Super League
Young Boys vs Basel
3:3
May 10, 2026 Super League
Young Boys vs Basel
3:0
Apr 4, 2026 Super League
Basel vs Young Boys
3:3
Nov 2, 2025 Super League
Young Boys vs Basel
0:0
Aug 6, 2025 Super League
Basel vs Young Boys
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Young Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Pech D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Males D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41

Basel Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Young Boys 56 / 100
Basel 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Young Boys Basel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Boys Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Young Boys found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

Basel has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Young Boys stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Young Boys VS Basel
3.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Young Boys

(Home)
12 Sept
Lugano
2 : 2
Young Boys
05 Sept
Young Boys
3 : 3
Luzern
01 Sept
Zurich
2 : 4
Young Boys
29 Aug
Young Boys
3 : 3
Basel
23 Aug
Young Boys
4 : 2
Vaduz
Page 1 of 6

Basel

(Away)
13 Sept
Luzern
2 : 4
Basel
06 Sept
Basel
1 : 3
Lugano
03 Sept
Basel
1 : 2
Sion
29 Aug
Young Boys
3 : 3
Basel
22 Aug
Zurich
1 : 2
Basel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thun 38 24 3 11 80:52 75
2 St. Gallen 38 20 10 8 72:47 70
3 Lugano 38 19 10 9 59:42 67
4 Sion 38 16 15 7 63:40 63
5 Basel 38 16 8 14 55:58 56
6 Young Boys 38 15 10 13 80:69 55
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)