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Young Boys vs Etoile-Carouge - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

' Event
Fernandes E.
' Event
Essende S.
' Event
Essende S.

AI Match Summary

Young Boys in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Young Boys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Young Boys
30%
Draws
6%
Etoile-Carouge
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Young Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Young Boys have won more games recently than Etoile-Carouge.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Young Boys taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Young Boys have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Young Boys Clean Sheet 20%
Etoile-Carouge Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Young Boys Etoile-Carouge
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 2.79 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Young Boys vs Etoile-Carouge
0:0
Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Young Boys vs Etoile-Carouge
5:0
Aug 16, 2019 Swiss Cup
Etoile-Carouge vs Young Boys
0:1
Oct 27, 2000 Challenge League
Etoile-Carouge vs Young Boys
0:3
Aug 4, 2000 Challenge League
Young Boys vs Etoile-Carouge
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Young Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Essende S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandes E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Etoile-Carouge Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Young Boys 85 / 100
Etoile-Carouge 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Young Boys Etoile-Carouge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Boys Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Young Boys scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Young Boys has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Etoile-Carouge has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Young Boys VS Etoile-Carouge
3.13 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Young Boys

(Home)
02 Oct
Aarau
1 : 2
Young Boys
19 Sept
Young Boys
3 : 2
Servette
12 Sept
Lugano
2 : 2
Young Boys
05 Sept
Young Boys
3 : 3
Luzern
01 Sept
Zurich
2 : 4
Young Boys
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Etoile-Carouge

(Away)
09 Oct
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 2
Yverdon
18 Sept
Kriens
4 : 1
Etoile-Carouge
11 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 1
Winterthur
04 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
1 : 1
Wil
01 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
3 : 0
Etoile-Carouge
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