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Young Elephant vs Iganga United Prediction & H2H Stats

Uganda Uganda

Big League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Big League 2025/2026 game between Young Elephant and Iganga United finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Young Elephant.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Young Elephant
20%
Draws
47%
Iganga United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Iganga United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Young Elephant's 1.47 goals per match outpaces what Iganga United have produced (1).
  • Model gives Young Elephant a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Young Elephant Clean Sheet 20%
Iganga United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Young Elephant Iganga United
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.47 1
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Big League
Young Elephant vs Iganga United
3:1
Oct 12, 2025 Big League
Iganga United vs Young Elephant
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Young Elephant 40 / 100
Iganga United 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Young Elephant Iganga United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Elephant Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Young Elephant scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Iganga United let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Young Elephant stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Young Elephant VS Iganga United
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Young Elephant

(Home)
06 Jun
Young Elephant
4 : 0
Wakiso Giants
24 May
Paidha Black Angels
2 : 1
Young Elephant
17 May
Young Elephant
7 : 0
Mbale Heroes
10 May
Kataka
2 : 0
Young Elephant
03 May
Onduparaka
1 : 1
Young Elephant
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Iganga United

(Away)
27 Sept
Iganga United
1 : 0
Pakwach Young Stars
06 Jun
Mbale Heroes
2 : 6
Iganga United
24 May
Iganga United
3 : 0
Nebbi Central
17 May
Bunyaruguru
2 : 0
Iganga United
10 May
Iganga United
1 : 1
Bright Stars
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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