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Young Elephant vs Kataka

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Young Elephant Logo

Young Elephant

2 - 1
FT
Kataka Logo

Kataka

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Big League game between Young Elephant and Kataka finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Young Elephant.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Young Elephant
20%
Draws
40%
Kataka
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Young Elephant haven't matched Kataka's recent run of results.
  • Young Elephant are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Young Elephant Clean Sheet 19%
Kataka Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Young Elephant Kataka
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.47 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Big League
Kataka vs Young Elephant
2:0
Dec 21, 2025 Big League
Young Elephant vs Kataka
2:1
Apr 13, 2024 Big League
Kataka vs Young Elephant
1:0
Nov 11, 2023 Big League
Young Elephant vs Kataka
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Young Elephant 85 / 100
Kataka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Young Elephant Kataka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Elephant Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Young Elephant scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Kataka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Young Elephant remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Young Elephant VS Kataka
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Young Elephant

(Home)
06 Jun
Young Elephant
4 : 0
Wakiso Giants
24 May
Paidha Black Angels
2 : 1
Young Elephant
17 May
Young Elephant
7 : 0
Mbale Heroes
10 May
Kataka
2 : 0
Young Elephant
03 May
Onduparaka
1 : 1
Young Elephant
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Kataka

(Away)
16 Sept
Kampala City
1 : 0
Kataka
03 Sept
Kataka
1 : 4
BUL
29 Aug
UPDF FC
0 : 0
Kataka
06 Jun
Bright Stars
0 : 2
Kataka
24 May
Kataka
2 : 0
Kigezi HomeBoyz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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