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Young Elephant vs Nebbi Central

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Big League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Young Elephant
20%
Draws
29%
Nebbi Central
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Young Elephant

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Young Elephant have won more games recently than Nebbi Central.
  • Model gives Young Elephant a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Young Elephant Clean Sheet 20%
Nebbi Central Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Young Elephant Nebbi Central
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Big League
Young Elephant vs Nebbi Central
0:0
Dec 7, 2025 Big League
Nebbi Central vs Young Elephant
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Young Elephant 85 / 100
Nebbi Central 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Young Elephant Nebbi Central

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Elephant Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Young Elephant scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Nebbi Central conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Young Elephant stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Nebbi Central lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Young Elephant VS Nebbi Central
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Young Elephant

(Home)
06 Jun
Young Elephant
4 : 0
Wakiso Giants
24 May
Paidha Black Angels
2 : 1
Young Elephant
17 May
Young Elephant
7 : 0
Mbale Heroes
10 May
Kataka
2 : 0
Young Elephant
03 May
Onduparaka
1 : 1
Young Elephant
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Nebbi Central

(Away)
06 Jun
Nebbi Central
0 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
24 May
Iganga United
3 : 0
Nebbi Central
17 May
Nebbi Central
1 : 1
Catda
10 May
Blacks Power
2 : 1
Nebbi Central
03 May
Nebbi Central
3 : 0
Mbale Heroes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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