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Young Elephant vs Onduparaka

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Young Elephant in this Big League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Young Elephant.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Young Elephant
35%
Draws
30%
Onduparaka
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Young Elephant lately — more wins on the board than Onduparaka.
  • Young Elephant are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Young Elephant Clean Sheet 20%
Onduparaka Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Young Elephant Onduparaka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.47 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Big League
Onduparaka vs Young Elephant
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Big League
Young Elephant vs Onduparaka
3:1
Apr 7, 2024 Big League
Young Elephant vs Onduparaka
1:2
Nov 2, 2023 Big League
Onduparaka vs Young Elephant
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Young Elephant 76 / 100
Onduparaka 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Young Elephant Onduparaka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Elephant Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Young Elephant found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Onduparaka conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Young Elephant went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Young Elephant VS Onduparaka
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Young Elephant

(Home)
06 Jun
Young Elephant
4 : 0
Wakiso Giants
24 May
Paidha Black Angels
2 : 1
Young Elephant
17 May
Young Elephant
7 : 0
Mbale Heroes
10 May
Kataka
2 : 0
Young Elephant
03 May
Onduparaka
1 : 1
Young Elephant
Page 1 of 6

Onduparaka

(Away)
06 Jun
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Blacks Power
23 May
Catda
1 : 0
Onduparaka
17 May
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Paidha Black Angels
09 May
Mbale Heroes
0 : 1
Onduparaka
03 May
Onduparaka
1 : 1
Young Elephant
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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