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Yozgat vs Erciyes 38 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yozgat host Erciyes 38 in the 3. Lig Group 3. Little to choose between these two on current form. Yozgat have averaged 1.39 scored and 1.32 conceded recently, against Erciyes 38's 1.53 scored and 1.07 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 2.13, favoring Erciyes 38. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Yozgat
15%
Draws
69%
Erciyes 38
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erciyes 38

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Yozgat haven't matched Erciyes 38's recent run of results.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Erciyes 38 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Yozgat Clean Sheet 10%
Erciyes 38 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yozgat Erciyes 38
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 5 9
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.39 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yozgat 10 / 100
Erciyes 38 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yozgat Erciyes 38

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erciyes 38 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yozgat found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Erciyes 38 let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Yozgat went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yozgat VS Erciyes 38
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Yozgat

(Home)
07 Oct
Golcukspor
2 : 0
Yozgat
03 Oct
Yozgat
1 : 9
Malatya
26 Sept
Karakopru
2 : 0
Yozgat
19 Sept
Yozgat
1 : 0
Adana Adaletgucu
12 Sept
Nigde
3 : 1
Yozgat
Page 1 of 6

Erciyes 38

(Away)
08 Oct
Erciyes 38
2 : 0
Kahta
03 Oct
Osmaniyespor
2 : 4
Erciyes 38
27 Sept
Erciyes 38
2 : 1
Kirikkale FK
19 Sept
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
0 : 0
Erciyes 38
12 Sept
Erciyes 38
2 : 1
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malatya 6 6 0 0 25:2 18
2 Nigde 5 5 0 0 13:2 15
3 Karakopru 5 5 0 0 13:3 15
4 Mazidagi 5 4 1 0 12:3 13
5 Erciyes 38 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
6 Kirsehir SK 5 4 0 1 19:4 12
7 Bitlis 1916 5 4 0 1 14:3 12
8 Agri 1970 5 2 1 2 4:4 7
9 Adana Adaletgucu 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
10 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
11 Kirikkale FK 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
12 Silifke 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
13 Osmaniyespor 5 1 0 4 7:13 3
14 Karaman FK 5 1 0 4 4:14 3
15 Yozgat 5 1 0 4 3:18 3
16 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 5 0 1 4 2:8 1
17 Adanaspor AS 5 0 0 5 3:20 0
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 6 0 0 6 0:18 -3
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)