Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yozgat vs Malatya

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yozgat host Malatya in the 3. Lig Group 3. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Yozgat have averaged 1.7 scored and 0.97 conceded recently, against Malatya's 1.6 scored and 0.97 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.06 - 1.56) back Yozgat to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Yozgat
15%
Draws
64%
Malatya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malatya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Yozgat's 1.7 goals per match outpaces what Malatya have produced (1.6).
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Malatya taking it.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Yozgat Clean Sheet 15%
Malatya Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yozgat Malatya
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.7 1.6
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yozgat 11 / 100
Malatya 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yozgat Malatya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malatya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Yozgat scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Malatya has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Yozgat remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Malatya lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yozgat VS Malatya
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Yozgat

(Home)
19 Sept
Yozgat
1 : 0
Adana Adaletgucu
12 Sept
Nigde
3 : 1
Yozgat
06 Sept
Yozgat
0 : 4
Kirsehir SK
08 May
52 Orduspor
1 : 0
Yozgat
04 May
Yozgat
1 : 1
52 Orduspor
Page 1 of 6

Malatya

(Away)
19 Sept
Osmaniyespor
0 : 1
Malatya
12 Sept
Malatya
3 : 1
Kirikkale FK
06 Sept
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
0 : 1
Malatya
16 May
Corluspor
1 : 0
Malatya
08 May
Erciyes 38
3 : 4
Malatya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigde 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Bitlis 1916 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
3 Karakopru 3 3 0 0 8:3 9
4 Malatya 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
5 Mazidagi 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
6 Erciyes 38 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
7 Adana Adaletgucu 4 2 0 2 10:5 6
8 Kirsehir SK 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
9 Silifke 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
10 Osmaniyespor 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
11 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
12 Karaman FK 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
13 Yozgat 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
14 Agri 1970 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
15 Kirikkale FK 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
16 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 3 0 1 2 0:4 1
17 Adanaspor AS 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 4 0 0 4 0:12 -3
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)