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Ypiranga FC vs Botafogo PB Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Olímpico Colosso da Lagoa, Erechim
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Renan Gorne
(Penalty)
25'
Jhonata Varela
28'
Ramon Vinicius

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ypiranga FC
30%
Draws
19%
Botafogo PB
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ypiranga FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Botafogo PB haven't matched Ypiranga FC's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Ypiranga FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Ypiranga FC Clean Sheet 68%
Botafogo PB Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ypiranga FC Botafogo PB
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.3 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2026 Serie C
Ypiranga FC vs Botafogo PB
1:1
Aug 18, 2025 Serie C
Ypiranga FC vs Botafogo PB
2:2
Jul 28, 2024 Serie C
Ypiranga FC vs Botafogo PB
2:2
Aug 26, 2023 Serie C
Ypiranga FC vs Botafogo PB
1:1
Jul 16, 2022 Serie C
Ypiranga FC vs Botafogo PB
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ypiranga FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Botafogo PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Bastos R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ypiranga FC 86 / 100
Botafogo PB 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ypiranga FC Botafogo PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ypiranga FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ypiranga FC scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Ypiranga FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Botafogo PB's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ypiranga FC VS Botafogo PB
1.71 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
57% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ypiranga FC

(Home)
29 Aug
Amazonas
2 : 2
Ypiranga FC
23 Aug
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0
Ferroviaria
17 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2
Ypiranga FC
09 Aug
Ypiranga FC
4 : 1
Floresta EC
26 Jul
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
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Botafogo PB

(Away)
26 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 0
Maringa FC
19 Sept
Maringa FC
2 : 0
Botafogo PB
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1
Floresta EC
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Botafogo PB
29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)