Sport Picks

Brazil

Serie C Estádio Olímpico Colosso da Lagoa, Erechim

Ypiranga FC

1 - 1

Confianca

Our Tip

Match Events

17'

53'

Sub

Iago Silva In: Valdir Junior

Out: Iago Silva

54'

Nicolas Schulz

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Ypiranga FC and Confianca finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Ypiranga FC

30%

Draws

34%

Confianca

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ypiranga FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Confianca have managed 0.63 goals a game lately — Ypiranga FC are scoring more at 0.88.
Win probability leans Ypiranga FC's way, sitting at 36%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 37%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

Ypiranga FC Clean Sheet 20%

Confianca Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ypiranga FC	Confianca
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	10	10
Draws	8	5
Losses	11	15
Goals Scored	0.88	0.63
Goals Conceded	1.63	1
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Serie C

Ypiranga FC vs Confianca

1:1

Jun 15, 2025 Serie C

Ypiranga FC vs Confianca

1:0

Jul 7, 2024 Serie C

Confianca vs Ypiranga FC

2:0

Jul 1, 2023 Serie C

Confianca vs Ypiranga FC

1:1

Apr 16, 2022 Serie C

Confianca vs Ypiranga FC

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ypiranga FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicolas Schulz

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Confianca Compare

Top Goalscorer PK

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ypiranga FC 36 / 100

Confianca 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ypiranga FC Confianca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ypiranga FC's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Confianca conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ypiranga FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Confianca has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ypiranga FC VS Confianca

0.88 Goals Scored 0.63

1.63 Goals Conceded 1

75% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ypiranga FC

(Home)

12 Jul

Maranhao

2 : 1

Ypiranga FC

05 Jul

Ypiranga FC

1 : 0

Paysandu PA

28 Jun

Ypiranga FC

1 : 1

Confianca

20 Jun

Santa Cruz

0 : 1

Ypiranga FC

15 Jun

Ypiranga FC

1 : 1

Botafogo PB

Page 1 of 6

Confianca

(Away)

12 Jul

Botafogo PB

2 : 0

Confianca

04 Jul

Confianca

1 : 2

Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

28 Jun

Ypiranga FC

1 : 1

Confianca

22 Jun

Confianca

2 : 0

Guarani

14 Jun

Volta Redonda

1 : 0

Confianca

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Internacional de Limeira	14	7	4	3	17:14	25
2	Brusque	14	7	3	4	20:15	24
3	Santa Cruz	14	7	3	4	15:10	24
4	Paysandu PA	14	7	2	5	22:19	23
5	Guarani	14	6	5	3	25:14	23
6	Botafogo PB	14	7	1	6	19:15	22
7	Maringa FC	14	6	4	4	27:24	22
8	Ferroviaria	14	6	4	4	15:12	22
9	SER Caxias do Sul	14	5	6	3	13:10	21
10	Floresta EC	14	5	5	4	15:14	20
11	Ituano	14	5	4	5	16:16	19
12	Ypiranga FC	14	5	3	6	17:19	18
13	Volta Redonda	14	5	3	6	10:15	18
14	Amazonas	14	5	2	7	13:19	17
15	Maranhao	14	4	5	5	11:14	17
16	Figueirense	14	4	5	5	12:18	17
17	Itabaiana	14	4	4	6	12:17	16
18	Barra FC (Santa Catarina)	14	3	6	5	17:16	15
19	Confianca	14	3	2	9	8:14	11
20	Anapolis	14	2	3	9	9:18	9

Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)

Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)