Sport Picks
Ypiranga FC vs Floresta EC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie C Estádio Olímpico Colosso da Lagoa, Erechim 
Match Events
15'
15'
Garraty
21'
21'
Alex Goncalves
34'
34'
Pedro Lucas
AI Match Summary
Ypiranga FC in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ypiranga FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ypiranga FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ypiranga FC lately — more wins on the board than Floresta EC.
- Ypiranga FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Ypiranga FC Clean Sheet 68%
Floresta EC Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ypiranga FC | Floresta EC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 Serie C
Ypiranga FC vs Floresta EC
4:1
Jul 12, 2025 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Ypiranga FC
2:1
Aug 12, 2024 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Ypiranga FC
2:2
Aug 14, 2023 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Ypiranga FC
2:0
May 8, 2022 Serie C
Ypiranga FC vs Floresta EC
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ypiranga FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Pedro Lucas
2 Goals Assists Leader Alex Goncalves
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Floresta EC Compare
Top Goalscorer Lima M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ypiranga FC 95 / 100
Floresta EC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ypiranga FC Floresta EC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ypiranga FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ypiranga FC scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Ypiranga FC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Floresta EC let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Ypiranga FC VS Floresta EC
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ypiranga FC
(Home) 29 Aug
Amazonas
2 : 2 Ypiranga FC
23 Aug
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0 Ferroviaria
17 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2 Ypiranga FC
09 Aug
Ypiranga FC
4 : 1 Floresta EC
26 Jul
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0 Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0 Ferroviaria
09 Aug
Ypiranga FC
4 : 1 Floresta EC
26 Jul
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0 Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
05 Jul
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0 Paysandu PA
28 Jun
Ypiranga FC
1 : 1 Confianca
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Floresta EC
(Away) 10 Oct
Maringa FC
2 : 0 Floresta EC
03 Oct
Floresta EC
1 : 1 Botafogo PB
26 Sept
Floresta EC
1 : 1 Santa Cruz
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0 Floresta EC
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1 Floresta EC
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Maringa FC
2 : 0 Floresta EC
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0 Floresta EC
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1 Floresta EC
22 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 2 Floresta EC
09 Aug
Ypiranga FC
4 : 1 Floresta EC
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Botafogo PB | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28:19 | 33 |
| 2 | Brusque | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28:22 | 32 |
| 3 | Ferroviaria | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Maringa FC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 32:30 | 30 |
| 5 | Floresta EC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 30 |
| 6 | Internacional de Limeira | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 30 |
| 7 | Paysandu PA | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26:27 | 29 |
| 8 | Santa Cruz | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 20:15 | 29 |
| 9 | Ypiranga FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 27:24 | 29 |
| 10 | Guarani | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 34:24 | 28 |
| 11 | Figueirense | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 19:22 | 28 |
| 12 | Maranhao | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 19:18 | 27 |
| 13 | Amazonas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 14 | SER Caxias do Sul | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 17:16 | 25 |
| 15 | Ituano | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18:21 | 22 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 13:25 | 21 |
| 17 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 18 | Anapolis | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17:22 | 19 |
| 19 | Itabaiana | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:27 | 17 |
| 20 | Confianca | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11:20 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)
