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Ytterhogdal vs Algarna-Harnosand Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Morgan T.

AI Match Summary

Ytterhogdal in this Division 2 - Norrland 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ytterhogdal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ytterhogdal
15%
Draws
0%
Algarna-Harnosand
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ytterhogdal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ytterhogdal lately — more wins on the board than Algarna-Harnosand.
  • Win probability leans Ytterhogdal's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ytterhogdal have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Ytterhogdal Clean Sheet 68%
Algarna-Harnosand Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ytterhogdal Algarna-Harnosand
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 8 2
Draws 3 4
Losses 21 22
Goals Scored 1.25 1.36
Goals Conceded 2.94 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Ytterhogdal vs Algarna-Harnosand
1:0
Mar 30, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Algarna-Harnosand vs Ytterhogdal
0:4
Aug 5, 2023 Division 2 - Norrland
Ytterhogdal vs Algarna-Harnosand
2:1
Apr 1, 2023 Division 2 - Norrland
Algarna-Harnosand vs Ytterhogdal
2:0
Aug 27, 2022 Division 2 - Norrland
Algarna-Harnosand vs Ytterhogdal
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ytterhogdal Compare

Top Goalscorer Morgan T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Algarna-Harnosand Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ytterhogdal 95 / 100
Algarna-Harnosand 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ytterhogdal Algarna-Harnosand

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ytterhogdal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Algarna-Harnosand has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Difficult form: Algarna-Harnosand registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Ytterhogdal's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ytterhogdal VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
3.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ytterhogdal

(Home)
18 Oct
IK Franke
4 : 3
Ytterhogdal
11 Oct
Ytterhogdal
5 : 4
Nacka FC
04 Oct
Osteraker IFK
1 : 2
Ytterhogdal
27 Sept
Ytterhogdal
1 : 2
Korsnas
20 Sept
Sunnersta AIF
4 : 2
Ytterhogdal
Page 1 of 7

Algarna-Harnosand

(Away)
19 Oct
Umea FF
4 : 0
Algarna-Harnosand
12 Oct
Algarna-Harnosand
0 : 3
Boden
06 Oct
Gottne IF
7 : 2
Algarna-Harnosand
28 Sept
Algarna-Harnosand
1 : 3
IFK Lulea
21 Sept
Algarna-Harnosand
0 : 3
Skelleftea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Umea FF 26 21 3 2 86:19 66
2 Boden 26 21 3 2 75:24 66
3 Bergnasets AIK 26 16 2 8 53:46 50
4 Skelleftea 26 14 5 7 54:32 47
5 IFK Ostersund 26 13 5 8 50:35 44
6 Ytterhogdal 26 13 5 8 44:36 44
7 IFK Lulea 26 11 7 8 40:41 40
8 Gottne IF 26 10 6 10 44:37 36
9 Umea FC Akademi 26 8 3 15 40:62 27
10 Kiruna 26 7 5 14 23:49 26
11 Lucksta IF 26 7 4 15 43:62 25
12 Taftea IK 26 7 3 16 38:56 24
13 Froso IF 26 4 2 20 33:78 14
14 Algarna-Harnosand 26 2 3 21 34:80 9
15 Sandvik 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Relegation)