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Yuen Long vs Citizen

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Division 1 2013/2014
Yuen Long Logo

Yuen Long

2 - 1
FT
Citizen Logo

Citizen

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Yuen Long in this Division 1 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yuen Long.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Yuen Long
20%
Draws
44%
Citizen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Yuen Long haven't matched Citizen's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 1 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Yuen Long Clean Sheet 15%
Citizen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yuen Long Citizen
Matches Played 23 28
Wins 5 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.91 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.35 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2014 Premier League
Yuen Long vs Citizen
2:1
Nov 30, 2013 Premier League
Citizen vs Yuen Long
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yuen Long 30 / 100
Citizen 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yuen Long Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yuen Long Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Citizen has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Yuen Long scored in 78% of their last 23 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Yuen Long stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yuen Long VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Yuen Long

(Home)
12 Mar
Yuen Long
4 : 5
Pegasus
29 Feb
Tai Po
2 : 2
Yuen Long
15 Feb
Yuen Long
4 : 3
Happy Valley
12 Feb
Yuen Long
1 : 2
Southern District
19 Jan
Happy Valley
1 : 1
Yuen Long
Page 1 of 5

Citizen

(Away)
11 May
South China
3 : 2
Citizen
04 May
Citizen
2 : 1
Pegasus
19 Apr
Citizen
2 : 1
Southern District
12 Apr
Southern District
1 : 0
Citizen
06 Apr
Dreams Metro Gallery
3 : 2
Citizen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kitchee 18 15 3 0 47:12 48
2 Pegasus 18 10 2 6 40:28 32
3 South China 18 8 8 2 35:24 32
4 Southern District 18 5 6 7 25:32 21
5 Hong Kong Rangers 18 5 6 7 23:32 21
6 Eastern AA 18 5 6 7 34:37 21
7 Yuen Long 18 5 5 8 25:33 20
8 Sunray Cave 18 5 4 9 32:41 19
9 Citizen 18 4 6 8 25:33 18
10 Dreams Metro Gallery 18 3 4 11 25:39 13
11 Tuen Mun 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Happy Valley 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Cup 2014 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Division 1 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Division 1 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Division 1 2013/2014 (Play Offs)