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Yuksekova vs Musspor

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yuksekova play Musspor in the Turkish Cup 2018/2019. Musspor are favorites here. Recently, Yuksekova averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Musspor averaged 2.29 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. In past meetings, Yuksekova won 1, Musspor won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 29, 2018 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Yuksekova and 1.61 for Musspor. This points to a Musspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Yuksekova
15%
Draws
57%
Musspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Musspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Yuksekova picked up more points recently compared to Musspor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.61 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Yuksekova Clean Sheet 14%
Musspor Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yuksekova Musspor
Matches Played 8 31
Wins 2 19
Draws 0 6
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 0.75 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.06

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2018 Turkish Cup
Yuksekova vs Musspor
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yuksekova Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurt A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akdogan C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Musspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yuksekova 28 / 100
Musspor 54 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yuksekova Musspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Musspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Musspor & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Yuksekova attacking → ← attacking Musspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yuksekova scored in 38% of their last 8 games.

Musspor let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Yuksekova went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Musspor lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 63
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13