Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan

China China

Super League Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Zhang Yuning
Assist: Zhang Xizhe
45' Event
Ionita II A.
60' Event
Zhang Xizhe
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Yunnan Yukun and Beijing Guoan finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Yunnan Yukun
39%
Draws
30%
Beijing Guoan
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Yunnan Yukun haven't matched Beijing Guoan's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Beijing Guoan have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Yunnan Yukun Clean Sheet 11%
Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yunnan Yukun Beijing Guoan
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Super League
Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan
3:3
Aug 20, 2025 FA Cup
Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun
7:0
Jun 30, 2025 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun
2:1
Feb 22, 2025 Super League
Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yunnan Yukun Compare

Top Goalscorer Ionita II A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cleber
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Beijing Guoan Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhang Yuning
1 Goals
Assists Leader Serginho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yunnan Yukun 30 / 100
Beijing Guoan 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yunnan Yukun Beijing Guoan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yunnan Yukun found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Beijing Guoan has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Yunnan Yukun has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Yunnan Yukun VS Beijing Guoan
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng18133238:1742
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1877422:2028
3Dalian Yingbo1781825:3125
4Shandong Taishan1893634:3124
5Yunnan Yukun1873834:3324
6Qingdao West Coast1859422:2824
7Beijing Guoan1775529:2321
8Zhejiang Professional1874726:3120
9Liaoning Tieren1762924:2920
10Shenzhen Xinpengcheng18621025:3120
11Shanghai Shenhua1785436:2719
12Shanghai Port1755726:2415
13Henan Songshan Longmen1763818:2215
14Qingdao Hainiu1863929:3114
15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1746722:228
16Wuhan Three Towns1727824:348