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Yunnan Yukun vs Liaoning Tieren Prediction & H2H Stats

China China

Super League Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium, Yuxi
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Tsui Wang-Kit
32' Event
Cleber
Assist: Abdusalam Bunyamin
40' Event
Taty Maritu O.
Assist: Ionita II A.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Yunnan Yukun and Liaoning Tieren finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yunnan Yukun.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Yunnan Yukun
20%
Draws
7%
Liaoning Tieren
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Yunnan Yukun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Liaoning Tieren haven't matched Yunnan Yukun's recent run of results.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Yunnan Yukun taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Yunnan Yukun have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Yunnan Yukun Clean Sheet 10%
Liaoning Tieren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yunnan Yukun Liaoning Tieren
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 2.17 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Super League
Yunnan Yukun vs Liaoning Tieren
5:0
May 10, 2026 Super League
Liaoning Tieren vs Yunnan Yukun
1:2
Nov 3, 2024 League One
Liaoning Tieren vs Yunnan Yukun
2:1
Jun 30, 2024 League One
Yunnan Yukun vs Liaoning Tieren
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yunnan Yukun Compare

Top Goalscorer Cleber
3 Goals
Assists Leader Taty Maritu O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Liaoning Tieren Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yunnan Yukun 83 / 100
Liaoning Tieren 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yunnan Yukun Liaoning Tieren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yunnan Yukun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yunnan Yukun found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Liaoning Tieren conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Yunnan Yukun stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yunnan Yukun VS Liaoning Tieren
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Yunnan Yukun

(Home)
06 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
5 : 0
Liaoning Tieren
02 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
1 : 0
Chongqing Tonglianglong
29 Aug
Zhejiang Professional
6 : 0
Yunnan Yukun
22 Aug
Beijing Guoan
3 : 3
Yunnan Yukun
15 Aug
Yunnan Yukun
3 : 1
Dalian Yingbo
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Liaoning Tieren

(Away)
12 Sept
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 0
Liaoning Tieren
06 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
5 : 0
Liaoning Tieren
29 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng
2 : 1
Liaoning Tieren
23 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
4 : 4
Henan Songshan Longmen
15 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
1 : 2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chengdu Rongcheng 26 15 7 4 51:30 52
2 Dalian Yingbo 26 12 4 10 38:42 40
3 Beijing Guoan 26 11 10 5 49:33 38
4 Yunnan Yukun 26 11 5 10 54:51 38
5 Qingdao West Coast 26 8 14 4 31:32 38
6 Shandong Taishan 26 13 4 9 46:43 37
7 Shanghai Port 26 10 8 8 40:33 33
8 Shanghai Shenhua 26 12 5 9 52:46 31
9 Zhejiang Professional 26 10 6 10 45:43 31
10 Chongqing Tonglianglong 26 7 10 9 27:32 31
11 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 26 8 4 14 34:45 28
12 Henan Songshan Longmen 26 8 9 9 33:35 27
13 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 26 9 8 9 36:32 25
14 Liaoning Tieren 26 7 4 15 34:47 25
15 Wuhan Three Towns 26 5 11 10 39:46 21
16 Qingdao Hainiu 26 6 3 17 34:53 14
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)