Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yupanqui vs El Porvenir

Argentina Argentina

Primera C
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Nami D.
75' Event
Nami D.
77' Event
Rousseau J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera C matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Yupanqui
20%
Draws
70%
El Porvenir
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: El Porvenir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Yupanqui average 1.11 goals a game right now, well clear of El Porvenir's 0.79.
  • 70% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Yupanqui Clean Sheet 19%
El Porvenir Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yupanqui El Porvenir
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 7
Draws 10 14
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.11 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.18 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Primera C
El Porvenir vs Yupanqui
0:3
Apr 13, 2026 Primera C
Yupanqui vs El Porvenir
2:2
Jul 27, 2024 Primera C
El Porvenir vs Yupanqui
0:1
Feb 24, 2024 Primera C
Yupanqui vs El Porvenir
1:2
May 9, 2016 Primera D
El Porvenir vs Yupanqui
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yupanqui Compare

Top Goalscorer Rousseau J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

El Porvenir Compare

Top Goalscorer Nami D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yupanqui 36 / 100
El Porvenir 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yupanqui El Porvenir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick El Porvenir Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Yupanqui scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

El Porvenir let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Yupanqui remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Yupanqui VS El Porvenir
1 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Yupanqui

(Home)
21 Sept
Claypole
2 : 1
Yupanqui
12 Sept
Estrella Del Sur
1 : 1
Yupanqui
04 Sept
Yupanqui
0 : 1
Leones de Rosario
30 Aug
CSD Central Ballester
2 : 0
Yupanqui
22 Aug
Yupanqui
0 : 2
Atlas
Page 1 of 6

El Porvenir

(Away)
21 Sept
El Porvenir
0 : 2
Deportivo Espanol
12 Sept
Juventud Unida San Miguel
0 : 1
El Porvenir
05 Sept
Central Cordoba (Rosario)
2 : 0
El Porvenir
29 Aug
El Porvenir
4 : 2
Claypole
23 Aug
El Porvenir
0 : 0
CSD Central Ballester
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sacachispas 29 13 7 9 32:23 46
2 Berazategui 29 11 12 6 32:21 45
3 CA Lugano 29 11 12 6 32:24 45
4 Mercedes 30 11 10 9 29:23 43
5 CSR Espanol 29 10 11 8 35:27 41
6 Juventud Unida San Miguel 29 11 8 10 34:28 41
7 Estrella Del Sur 29 10 11 8 29:28 41
8 Victoriano Arenas 29 9 13 7 22:18 40
9 Puerto Nuevo 30 9 11 10 27:31 38
10 Defensores de Cambaceres 29 9 9 11 25:28 36
11 Deportivo Paraguayo 29 7 9 13 21:37 30
12 Justo Jose de Urquiza 29 5 14 10 14:23 29
13 Leandro N. Alem 29 7 7 15 27:50 28
14 Argentino de Rosario 29 3 15 11 26:37 24
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Lujan 29 16 7 6 43:22 55
2 Canuelas 29 15 9 5 36:20 54
3 Deportivo Espanol 29 10 15 4 23:15 45
4 Leones de Rosario 29 11 12 6 27:23 45
5 Central Cordoba (Rosario) 29 11 10 8 29:21 43
6 General Lamadrid 29 9 12 8 23:26 39
7 Sportivo Barracas 29 11 5 13 31:29 38
8 CSD Central Ballester 29 10 8 11 28:27 38
9 Atlas 29 9 9 11 22:25 36
10 El Porvenir 29 7 15 7 23:27 36
11 Yupanqui 29 8 10 11 33:34 34
12 Claypole 29 8 8 13 23:36 32
13 Fenix 29 7 10 12 21:28 31
14 Deportivo Muniz 29 4 11 14 17:33 23
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)