Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yverdon vs Aarau

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Stade Municipal, Yverdon-les-Bains
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Golliard R.
5'
Augustin J.
21'
Ndau K.

AI Match Summary

Yverdon in this Challenge League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yverdon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Yverdon
35%
Draws
32%
Aarau
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Aarau at 1.97 per game, Yverdon at 1.87.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Yverdon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Yverdon Clean Sheet 18%
Aarau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yverdon Aarau
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.87 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Challenge League
Yverdon vs Aarau
2:1
May 15, 2026 Challenge League
Aarau vs Yverdon
2:2
Jan 30, 2026 Challenge League
Yverdon vs Aarau
1:2
Dec 7, 2025 Challenge League
Yverdon vs Aarau
1:2
Oct 3, 2025 Challenge League
Aarau vs Yverdon
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yverdon Compare

Top Goalscorer Golliard R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Demhasaj S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Aarau Compare

Top Goalscorer Petit-Viretti V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yverdon 49 / 100
Aarau 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yverdon Aarau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yverdon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Yverdon's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Aarau conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Yverdon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yverdon VS Aarau
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Yverdon

(Home)
20 Sept
Yverdon
0 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
11 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
2 : 0
Yverdon
06 Sept
Yverdon
4 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
01 Sept
Xamax
1 : 2
Yverdon
28 Aug
Yverdon
1 : 1
Wil
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Aarau

(Away)
18 Sept
Winterthur
2 : 1
Aarau
12 Sept
Aarau
2 : 2
Kriens
04 Sept
Aarau
3 : 2
Rapperswil-Jona
31 Aug
Wil
2 : 2
Aarau
28 Aug
Aarau
2 : 1
Xamax
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 9 6 3 0 17:3 21
2 Winterthur 9 5 3 1 19:8 18
3 Yverdon 9 4 4 1 14:9 16
4 Kriens 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
5 Aarau 9 3 3 3 14:16 12
6 Xamax 9 4 0 5 12:17 12
7 Rapperswil-Jona 9 3 1 5 15:16 10
8 Etoile-Carouge 9 2 3 4 8:12 9
9 Wil 9 2 3 4 15:21 9
10 Stade Nyonnais 9 0 2 7 6:23 2
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)