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Yverdon vs Aarau

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Stade Municipal, Yverdon-les-Bains
Sun, Aug 23, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yverdon host Aarau in the Challenge League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Yverdon at 1.63 goals for, 1.75 against; Aarau at 1.38 for, 1.25 against. Past meetings favor Aarau slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 15, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.44 - 1.56) back Yverdon to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Yverdon
28%
Draws
22%
Aarau
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Yverdon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Yverdon at 1.63 per game, Aarau at 1.38.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Yverdon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Yverdon Clean Sheet 15%
Aarau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yverdon Aarau
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Challenge League
Aarau vs Yverdon
2:2
Jan 30, 2026 Challenge League
Yverdon vs Aarau
1:2
Dec 7, 2025 Challenge League
Yverdon vs Aarau
1:2
Oct 3, 2025 Challenge League
Aarau vs Yverdon
1:2
May 23, 2023 Challenge League
Yverdon vs Aarau
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yverdon 48 / 100
Aarau 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yverdon Aarau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YVE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Yverdon scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Aarau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Yverdon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yverdon VS Aarau
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Yverdon

(Home)
24 Jul
Winterthur
2 : 2
Yverdon
18 Jul
Lausanne
3 : 0
Yverdon
12 Jul
Yverdon
1 : 3
Sion
08 Jul
Basel
0 : 3
Yverdon
03 Jul
Biel
0 : 0
Yverdon
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Aarau

(Away)
24 Jul
Etoile-Carouge
3 : 0
Aarau
18 Jul
Aarau
2 : 1
Union Berlin
10 Jul
A. Lustenau
1 : 0
Aarau
30 Jun
Aarau
1 : 3
St. Gallen II
21 May
Grasshoppers
2 : 1
Aarau
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Etoile-Carouge11003:03
2Lausanne Ouchy11002:03
3Wil11005:43
4Xamax11003:23
5Winterthur10102:21
6Yverdon10102:21
7Rapperswil-Jona10014:50
8Kriens10012:30
9Stade Nyonnais10010:20
10Aarau10010:30
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)