Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yverdon vs Aarau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Stade Municipal, Yverdon-les-Bains
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Golliard R.
5'
Augustin J.
21'
Ndau K.

AI Match Summary

Yverdon in this Challenge League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yverdon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Yverdon
15%
Draws
28%
Aarau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yverdon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Aarau haven't matched Yverdon's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Yverdon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Yverdon Clean Sheet 18%
Aarau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yverdon Aarau
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.14 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Challenge League
Yverdon vs Aarau
2:1
May 15, 2026 Challenge League
Aarau vs Yverdon
2:2
Jan 30, 2026 Challenge League
Yverdon vs Aarau
1:2
Dec 7, 2025 Challenge League
Yverdon vs Aarau
1:2
Oct 3, 2025 Challenge League
Aarau vs Yverdon
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yverdon Compare

Top Goalscorer Golliard R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Demhasaj S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Aarau Compare

Top Goalscorer Petit-Viretti V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yverdon 85 / 100
Aarau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yverdon Aarau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yverdon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Yverdon scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Aarau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Yverdon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yverdon VS Aarau
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Yverdon

(Home)
30 Oct
Lausanne Ouchy
3 : 2
Yverdon
25 Oct
Yverdon
5 : 2
Kriens
17 Oct
Old Boys
1 : 2
Yverdon
09 Oct
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 2
Yverdon
02 Oct
Grasshoppers
2 : 3
Yverdon
Page 1 of 6

Aarau

(Away)
06 Nov
Aarau
0 : 3
Wil
30 Oct
Xamax
1 : 3
Aarau
24 Oct
Aarau
1 : 2
Etoile-Carouge
18 Oct
Aarau
2 : 0
Zurich
09 Oct
Stade Nyonnais
2 : 1
Aarau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 13 9 4 0 28:6 31
2 Winterthur 12 7 3 2 26:11 24
3 Yverdon 12 6 4 2 23:14 22
4 Kriens 13 5 4 4 22:19 19
5 Xamax 12 5 1 6 16:20 16
6 Aarau 13 4 3 6 19:24 15
7 Wil 13 3 5 5 21:27 14
8 Etoile-Carouge 12 3 4 5 12:17 13
9 Rapperswil-Jona 13 3 2 8 18:26 11
10 Stade Nyonnais 13 2 2 9 13:34 8
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)