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Yverdon vs St. Gallen

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup 2025/2026 Stade Municipal, Yverdon-les-Bains
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Gortler L.
57'
Sub
Tasar V. In: Neelakandan R.
Out: Tasar V.
59'
Chappuis A.

AI Match Summary

St. Gallen in this Swiss Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Yverdon
20%
Draws
34%
St. Gallen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Yverdon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Gallen have won more games recently than Yverdon.
  • Model gives Yverdon a 46% chance of winning this.
  • St. Gallen arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Yverdon, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Yverdon Clean Sheet 16%
St. Gallen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yverdon St. Gallen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 9 3
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.9 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Swiss Cup
Yverdon vs St. Gallen
0:2
May 6, 2025 Super League
Yverdon vs St. Gallen
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Super League
Yverdon vs St. Gallen
1:0
Nov 24, 2024 Super League
St. Gallen vs Yverdon
0:0
Sep 28, 2024 Super League
Yverdon vs St. Gallen
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yverdon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

St. Gallen Compare

Top Goalscorer Gortler L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vogt A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yverdon 75 / 100
St. Gallen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yverdon St. Gallen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yverdon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Gallen has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Yverdon scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Yverdon has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

St. Gallen's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Yverdon VS St. Gallen
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Yverdon

(Home)
20 Sept
Yverdon
0 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
11 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
2 : 0
Yverdon
06 Sept
Yverdon
4 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
01 Sept
Xamax
1 : 2
Yverdon
28 Aug
Yverdon
1 : 1
Wil
Page 1 of 6

St. Gallen

(Away)
20 Sept
Basel
1 : 3
St. Gallen
16 Sept
Lugano
4 : 1
St. Gallen
12 Sept
St. Gallen
0 : 3
Sion
06 Sept
Servette
0 : 2
St. Gallen
02 Sept
Grasshoppers
2 : 0
St. Gallen
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Vernier 0
Echallens 1
Veyrier-Sports 0
Lausanne Ouchy 2
Harkingen 2
Schaffhausen 3
SV Schaffhausen 0
Winterthur 5
Zug 1
Mendrisio 0
Breitenrain 1
Thun 0
Breitenbach 0
Bosna Neuchatel 5
Perlen-Buchrain 0
Luzern 3
Romanshorn 2
Altstatten 4
Cham 3
Lugano 2
SC Nebikon 0
Bellinzona 4
Lachen/Altendorf 0
Grasshoppers 2
Wohlen 1
Aarau 3
Courtetelle 1
Young Boys 4
FC Lommiswil 1
Prishtina Bern 4
Ajoie-Monterri 0
Sion 2
La Tour Le Paquier 0
Stade Nyonnais 4
Wettswil-Bonstetten 0
Zurich 2
Unterstrass 5
Klingnau 4
Diaspora 2
Xamax 3
Stade Payerne 1
Yverdon 3
Dardania Lausanne 0
Servette 5
Azzurri Bienne 0
Concordia 8
Vevey 1
Lausanne 2
FC Morbio 2
Gossau 1
Volketswil 0
Rapperswil-Jona 8
Kriens 2
Wil 3
Walenstadt 0
St. Gallen 13
CS Le Locle 2
FC Saxon-Sports 1
La Sarraz-Eclepens 1
Grand-Saconnex 4
Bernex 0
Etoile-Carouge 3
Biel 1
Basel 6
1/16-finals
Echallens 0
Lausanne Ouchy 1
Schaffhausen 0
Winterthur 4
Zug 1
Breitenrain 0
Bosna Neuchatel 0
Luzern 6
Altstatten 0
Cham 3
Bellinzona 0
Grasshoppers 1
Aarau 1
Young Boys 0
Prishtina Bern 0
Sion 2
Stade Nyonnais 2
Zurich 1
Unterstrass 0
Xamax 5
Yverdon 1
Servette 0
Concordia 1
Lausanne 4
FC Morbio 0
Rapperswil-Jona 4
Wil 1
St. Gallen 2
CS Le Locle 3
Grand-Saconnex 4
Etoile-Carouge 2
Basel 3
1/8-finals
Lausanne Ouchy 1
Winterthur 0
Zug 1
Luzern 4
Cham 1
Grasshoppers 2
Aarau 1
Sion 3
Stade Nyonnais 1
Xamax 2
Yverdon 2
Lausanne 1
Rapperswil-Jona 1
St. Gallen 2
Grand-Saconnex 1
Basel 3
Quarter-finals
Lausanne Ouchy 2
Luzern 1
Grasshoppers 4
Sion 3
Xamax 1
Yverdon 2
St. Gallen 2
Basel 1
Semi-finals
Lausanne Ouchy 2
Grasshoppers 0
Yverdon 0
St. Gallen 2
Final
Lausanne Ouchy 0
St. Gallen 3