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Yverdon vs Thun - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup Stade Municipal, Yverdon-les-Bains
Tue, Dec 1, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Swiss Cup. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Yverdon have averaged 2 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Thun's 1.76 scored and 2.31 conceded. Past meetings favor Yverdon slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 6, 2024, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.06) point toward Yverdon. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Yverdon
15%
Draws
32%
Thun
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yverdon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Yverdon come out ahead of Thun on wins alone.
  • Model gives Yverdon a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Yverdon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Yverdon, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Yverdon Clean Sheet 20%
Thun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yverdon Thun
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Thun vs Yverdon
0:1
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Thun vs Yverdon
3:2
May 13, 2023 Challenge League
Yverdon vs Thun
1:0
Feb 24, 2023 Challenge League
Thun vs Yverdon
3:1
Oct 17, 2022 Challenge League
Thun vs Yverdon
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yverdon 67 / 100
Thun 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yverdon Thun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yverdon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yverdon's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Thun's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Yverdon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yverdon VS Thun
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Yverdon

(Home)
17 Oct
Old Boys
1 : 2
Yverdon
09 Oct
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 2
Yverdon
02 Oct
Grasshoppers
2 : 3
Yverdon
20 Sept
Yverdon
0 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
11 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
2 : 0
Yverdon
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Thun

(Away)
22 Oct
Thun
0 : 1
Hajduk Split
18 Oct
Schaffhausen
2 : 3
Thun
15 Oct
Twente
1 : 0
Thun
10 Oct
Zurich
4 : 2
Thun
03 Oct
Thun
2 : 0
Kriens
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kaufdorf 0
Old Boys 5
Terre Sainte 0
Yverdon 5
Rorschach 2
Schaffhausen 4
FC Saxon-Sports 0
Thun 6
Mutschellen 3
FC Winkeln SG 4
Kosova Neuchatel 0
Lausanne 6
Courrendlin-Courroux 0
Grenchen 1
Regensdorf 0
Grasshoppers 5
Koniz 3
Munsingen 1
Wiesendangen 0
Bruhl SG 6
Biel 3
Aarau 4
Tuggen 1
Zurich 2
Young Fellows Juventus 1
Rapperswil-Jona 6
Thalwil 0
St. Gallen 3
Pully 2
Genolier-Begnins 0
Vedeggio 1
Lugano 10
FC Interlaken 1
Bulle 4
Rebstein 2
Wil 6
Zurich City SC 1
Winterthur 3
Buochs 0
Luzern 3
Taverne 2
Brunnen 1
Liestal 0
Young Boys 4
Amical Saint-Prex 1
Stade Nyonnais 3
Courtetelle 1
Basel 6
CS Italien 1
Lausanne Ouchy 8
Collex-Bossy 0
Etoile-Carouge 2
Cham 2
Kriens 0
Kerzers 1
Sion 6
FC Aesch 1
Langenthal 5
Meyrin 0
Xamax 1
Rotkreuz 4
Bellinzona 1
Bavois 0
Servette 7
1/16-finals
Old Boys 1
Yverdon 2
Schaffhausen 2
Thun 3
FC Winkeln SG 0
Lausanne 7
Grenchen 0
Grasshoppers 8
Koniz 0
Bruhl SG 2
Aarau 2
Zurich 0
Rapperswil-Jona 0
St. Gallen 2
Pully 0
Lugano 4
Bulle 0
Wil 1
Winterthur 0
Luzern 1
Taverne 0
Young Boys 5
Stade Nyonnais 0
Basel 3
Lausanne Ouchy 3
Etoile-Carouge 0
Cham 0
Sion 2
Langenthal 2
Xamax 3
Rotkreuz 0
Servette 4
1/8-finals
Yverdon -
Thun -
Lausanne -
Grasshoppers -
Bruhl SG -
Aarau -
St. Gallen -
Lugano -
Wil -
Luzern -
Young Boys -
Basel -
Lausanne Ouchy -
Sion -
Xamax -
Servette -
Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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