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Z. Moravce-Vrable vs Samorin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovakia Slovakia

2. liga Štadión FC ViOn, Zlaté Moravce
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Z. Moravce-Vrable host Samorin in the 2. liga. This has Samorin written all over it on paper. Z. Moravce-Vrable have averaged 1.72 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Samorin's 1.97 scored and 1.14 conceded. Past meetings favor Z. Moravce-Vrable slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Samorin to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Z. Moravce-Vrable
35%
Draws
52%
Samorin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Samorin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Samorin come out ahead of Z. Moravce-Vrable on wins alone.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Samorin taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Z. Moravce-Vrable Clean Sheet 20%
Samorin Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Z. Moravce-Vrable Samorin
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 13 19
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.72 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 2. liga
Z. Moravce-Vrable vs Samorin
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 2. liga
Samorin vs Z. Moravce-Vrable
3:3
Apr 18, 2025 2. liga
Samorin vs Z. Moravce-Vrable
0:2
Jan 11, 2025 Tipsport liga
Samorin vs Z. Moravce-Vrable
1:2
Sep 27, 2024 2. liga
Z. Moravce-Vrable vs Samorin
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Z. Moravce-Vrable 24 / 100
Samorin 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Z. Moravce-Vrable Samorin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samorin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samorin has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Z. Moravce-Vrable's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Z. Moravce-Vrable has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Z. Moravce-Vrable VS Samorin
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Z. Moravce-Vrable

(Home)
17 Oct
FK Humenne
2 : 1
Z. Moravce-Vrable
12 Oct
Z. Moravce-Vrable
1 : 3
FK Pohronie
03 Oct
Inter Bratislava
2 : 2
Z. Moravce-Vrable
26 Sept
Z. Moravce-Vrable
0 : 2
Petrzalka
18 Sept
L. Mikulas
0 : 0
Z. Moravce-Vrable
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Samorin

(Away)
17 Oct
Inter Bratislava
2 : 2
Samorin
14 Oct
Samorin
2 : 1
FK Humenne
11 Oct
Samorin
1 : 1
Petrzalka
05 Oct
L. Mikulas
2 : 0
Samorin
26 Sept
Samorin
3 : 1
Zvolen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Petrzalka 12 9 2 1 22:8 29
2 Samorin 13 9 2 2 25:15 29
3 FK Pohronie 13 7 2 4 21:16 23
4 Povazska Bystrica 13 7 2 4 26:23 23
5 Galanta 13 7 1 5 20:20 22
6 Inter Bratislava 13 5 5 3 29:17 20
7 Zilina B 12 6 2 4 16:13 20
8 L. Mikulas 13 5 4 4 18:14 19
9 Presov 12 5 3 4 17:18 18
10 Banik Lehota pod Vtacnikom 13 4 4 5 18:20 16
11 Slovan Bratislava B 12 4 3 5 18:16 15
12 Z. Moravce-Vrable 13 3 4 6 14:16 13
13 Malzenice 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
14 FK Humenne 13 3 2 8 9:20 11
15 Bytca 13 3 0 10 14:33 9
16 Zvolen 13 1 3 9 9:22 6
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