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Stadium Background

Zabkovia Zabki vs GKS Belchatow

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Wojtysiak O.
63' Event
Poplawski K.
70' Event
Sarnik S.

AI Match Summary

GKS Belchatow in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored GKS Belchatow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Zabkovia Zabki
6%
Draws
4%
GKS Belchatow
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Zabkovia Zabki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Zabkovia Zabki have won more games recently than GKS Belchatow.
  • Model gives Zabkovia Zabki a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Zabkovia Zabki Clean Sheet 16%
GKS Belchatow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zabkovia Zabki GKS Belchatow
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 2 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Zabkovia Zabki vs GKS Belchatow
1:4
Sep 6, 2025 III Liga - Group I
GKS Belchatow vs Zabkovia Zabki
3:6
Mar 5, 2016 Division 1
Zabkovia Zabki vs GKS Belchatow
0:3
Aug 15, 2015 Division 1
GKS Belchatow vs Zabkovia Zabki
1:1
Jul 1, 2014 Club Friendly
GKS Belchatow vs Zabkovia Zabki
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zabkovia Zabki Compare

Top Goalscorer Wojtysiak O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

GKS Belchatow Compare

Top Goalscorer Poplawski K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sarnik S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zabkovia Zabki 84 / 100
GKS Belchatow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zabkovia Zabki GKS Belchatow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GKS Belchatow let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Zabkovia Zabki scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Zabkovia Zabki remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zabkovia Zabki VS GKS Belchatow
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legia II34273482:2984
2LKS Lomza34225777:3171
3Warta Sieradz34218564:3471
4Suwalki34205964:4365
5Troszyn341761175:4757
6Plock II341681056:5156
7Widzew Lodz II341731470:6454
8Jagiellonia II341471346:4549
9Tomaszow Mazowiecki341381364:5547
10Zabkovia Zabki341351672:6444
11Swit Mazowiecki341251751:6641
12MKS Mlawa341171655:5940
13Olimpia Elblag341081645:6138
14GKS Wikielec341071740:5437
15Bron Radom34991640:5736
16GKS Belchatow34971850:7634
17Wasilkow34742340:7925
18Znicz Biala Piska34432727:10315