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Stadium Background

Zabkovia Zabki vs Jagiellonia II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Konanau M.
45' Event
Swiatek J.
69' Event
Jankowski M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Zabkovia Zabki
20%
Draws
40%
Jagiellonia II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Zabkovia Zabki haven't matched Jagiellonia II's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Zabkovia Zabki taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Zabkovia Zabki Clean Sheet 10%
Jagiellonia II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zabkovia Zabki Jagiellonia II
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 6 18
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.41 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Zabkovia Zabki vs Jagiellonia II
2:2
Mar 14, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Zabkovia Zabki vs Jagiellonia II
0:1
Aug 27, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Zabkovia Zabki
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zabkovia Zabki Compare

Top Goalscorer Swiatek J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jankowski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Jagiellonia II Compare

Top Goalscorer Konanau M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kucharski J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zabkovia Zabki 38 / 100
Jagiellonia II 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zabkovia Zabki Jagiellonia II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zabkovia Zabki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Zabkovia Zabki found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Jagiellonia II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Zabkovia Zabki stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zabkovia Zabki VS Jagiellonia II
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zabkovia Zabki

(Home)
10 Oct
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 2
Jagiellonia II
25 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
3 : 4
MKS Mlawa
18 Sept
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Zabkovia Zabki
11 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
4 : 2
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
05 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 0
Zabkovia Zabki
Page 1 of 6

Jagiellonia II

(Away)
10 Oct
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 2
Jagiellonia II
25 Sept
Plock II
2 : 1
Jagiellonia II
19 Sept
Jagiellonia II
2 : 3
LKS Lodz II
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4
MKS Mlawa
05 Sept
LKS Lomza
1 : 2
Jagiellonia II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 12 9 2 1 26:10 29
2 Suwalki 12 7 4 1 22:11 25
3 Pelikan 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
4 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 12 6 3 3 28:22 21
5 Plock II 12 6 3 3 24:19 21
6 Swit Mazowiecki 12 6 2 4 22:19 20
7 Zabkovia Zabki 11 5 2 4 21:20 17
8 Jagiellonia II 11 4 4 3 24:22 16
9 Olimpia Elblag 12 5 1 6 18:21 16
10 Warta Sieradz 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
11 LKS Lodz II 11 4 2 5 23:21 14
12 Widzew Lodz II 11 4 2 5 21:20 14
13 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
14 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
15 Lidzbark Warmimski 12 3 3 6 19:24 12
16 MKS Mlawa 12 3 1 8 23:34 10
17 Troszyn 11 1 4 6 13:26 7
18 LKS Lomza 12 0 3 9 12:28 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)