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Zabkovia Zabki vs Pelikan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Gierach P.
(Penalty)
61' Event
Kencel M.
78' Event
Papazjan D.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I game between Zabkovia Zabki and Pelikan finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zabkovia Zabki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Zabkovia Zabki
15%
Draws
45%
Pelikan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pelikan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pelikan come out ahead of Zabkovia Zabki on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Zabkovia Zabki's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Zabkovia Zabki Clean Sheet 15%
Pelikan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zabkovia Zabki Pelikan
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.45 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Zabkovia Zabki vs Pelikan
2:1
Jan 21, 2012 Club Friendly
Pelikan vs Zabkovia Zabki
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zabkovia Zabki Compare

Top Goalscorer Kencel M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Papazjan D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Pelikan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zabkovia Zabki 35 / 100
Pelikan 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zabkovia Zabki Pelikan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zabkovia Zabki's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Pelikan conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Zabkovia Zabki went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zabkovia Zabki VS Pelikan
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zabkovia Zabki

(Home)
25 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
3 : 4
MKS Mlawa
18 Sept
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Zabkovia Zabki
11 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
4 : 2
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
05 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 0
Zabkovia Zabki
29 Aug
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 1
Pelikan
Page 1 of 6

Pelikan

(Away)
03 Oct
Pelikan
1 : 1
Widzew Lodz II
26 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 3
Pelikan
19 Sept
Pelikan
1 : 0
Lidzbark Warmimski
12 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 0
Pelikan
04 Sept
Pelikan
4 : 1
Swit Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 11 8 2 1 24:10 26
2 Suwalki 12 7 4 1 22:11 25
3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 11 6 3 2 27:18 21
4 Pelikan 11 6 2 3 17:13 20
5 Swit Mazowiecki 11 6 2 3 20:12 20
6 Plock II 11 5 3 3 22:18 18
7 Zabkovia Zabki 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Jagiellonia II 10 4 3 3 22:20 15
9 Warta Sieradz 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
10 Widzew Lodz II 10 4 2 4 21:18 14
11 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
12 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
13 Olimpia Elblag 11 4 1 6 16:20 13
14 LKS Lodz II 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
15 MKS Mlawa 11 3 1 7 22:32 10
16 Lidzbark Warmimski 11 2 3 6 16:22 9
17 Troszyn 10 1 4 5 12:24 7
18 LKS Lomza 11 0 3 8 10:25 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)