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Stadium Background

Zabkovia Zabki vs Swit Mazowiecki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Swiatek J.
53' Event
Muniak S.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I game between Zabkovia Zabki and Swit Mazowiecki finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zabkovia Zabki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Zabkovia Zabki
30%
Draws
35%
Swit Mazowiecki
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Zabkovia Zabki haven't matched Swit Mazowiecki's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Zabkovia Zabki a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Zabkovia Zabki Clean Sheet 10%
Swit Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zabkovia Zabki Swit Mazowiecki
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Zabkovia Zabki vs Swit Mazowiecki
2:0
Apr 18, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Zabkovia Zabki
3:3
Sep 27, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Zabkovia Zabki vs Swit Mazowiecki
5:1
May 18, 2001 Division 1
Swit Mazowiecki vs Zabkovia Zabki
6:1
Oct 20, 2000 Division 1
Zabkovia Zabki vs Swit Mazowiecki
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zabkovia Zabki Compare

Top Goalscorer Swiatek J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muniak S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Swit Mazowiecki Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zabkovia Zabki 65 / 100
Swit Mazowiecki 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zabkovia Zabki Swit Mazowiecki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zabkovia Zabki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Solid form: Zabkovia Zabki remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Zabkovia Zabki scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Swit Mazowiecki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zabkovia Zabki VS Swit Mazowiecki
2.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Zabkovia Zabki

(Home)
31 Oct
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 0
Swit Mazowiecki
24 Oct
Plock II
2 : 2
Zabkovia Zabki
18 Oct
Troszyn
1 : 1
Zabkovia Zabki
14 Oct
LKS Lodz II
0 : 3
Zabkovia Zabki
10 Oct
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 2
Jagiellonia II
Page 1 of 6

Swit Mazowiecki

(Away)
31 Oct
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 0
Swit Mazowiecki
24 Oct
Swit Mazowiecki
3 : 0
Troszyn
18 Oct
Jagiellonia II
1 : 3
Swit Mazowiecki
10 Oct
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 7
LKS Lodz II
03 Oct
MKS Mlawa
2 : 4
Swit Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 15 10 2 3 30:17 32
2 Suwalki 15 9 4 2 30:15 31
3 Warta Sieradz 16 8 4 4 28:22 28
4 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 15 8 3 4 36:28 27
5 Swit Mazowiecki 15 8 2 5 28:22 26
6 Zabkovia Zabki 15 7 4 4 29:23 25
7 Plock II 15 7 4 4 29:24 25
8 Pelikan 15 7 3 5 25:22 24
9 Olimpia Zambrow 15 6 3 6 31:31 21
10 Jagiellonia II 15 5 5 5 27:27 20
11 Widzew Lodz II 15 5 4 6 28:25 19
12 LKS Lodz II 15 5 3 7 27:30 18
13 Olimpia Elblag 15 5 3 7 19:24 18
14 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 16 5 2 9 25:33 17
15 Lidzbark Warmimski 15 4 3 8 25:29 15
16 MKS Mlawa 15 4 2 9 28:41 14
17 Troszyn 15 3 5 7 17:30 14
18 LKS Lomza 15 0 4 11 16:35 4
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)