Sport Picks
Zabkovia Zabki vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group I 
Match Events
12'
12'
Swiatek J.
21'
21'
Koterwas K.
26'
26'
Jankowski M.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group I game between Zabkovia Zabki and Tomaszow Mazowiecki finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zabkovia Zabki.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zabkovia Zabki
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Zabkovia Zabki haven't matched Tomaszow Mazowiecki's recent run of results.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Zabkovia Zabki taking it.
- Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Zabkovia Zabki here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Zabkovia Zabki Clean Sheet 13%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zabkovia Zabki | Tomaszow Mazowiecki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Zabkovia Zabki vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
4:2
Apr 25, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Zabkovia Zabki
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Zabkovia Zabki vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zabkovia Zabki Compare
Top Goalscorer Jankowski M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Swiatek J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Compare
Top Goalscorer Poplawski K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Racis L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zabkovia Zabki 75 / 100
Tomaszow Mazowiecki 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zabkovia Zabki Tomaszow Mazowiecki
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Zabkovia Zabki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Tomaszow Mazowiecki conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Zabkovia Zabki scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
Solid form: Zabkovia Zabki remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Zabkovia Zabki VS Tomaszow Mazowiecki
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Zabkovia Zabki
(Home) 10 Oct
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 2 Jagiellonia II
25 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
3 : 4 MKS Mlawa
18 Sept
LKS Lomza
0 : 2 Zabkovia Zabki
11 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
4 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
05 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 0 Zabkovia Zabki
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 2 Jagiellonia II
25 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
3 : 4 MKS Mlawa
11 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
4 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
29 Aug
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 1 Pelikan
19 Aug
Zabkovia Zabki
1 : 1 Suwalki
Page 1 of 3
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
(Away) 03 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Lidzbark Warmimski
26 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Swit Mazowiecki
11 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
4 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
05 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Troszyn
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
11 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
4 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
29 Aug
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
19 Aug
MKS Mlawa
2 : 3 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
08 Aug
Plock II
2 : 1 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTS Weszlo | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 26:10 | 29 |
| 2 | Suwalki | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:11 | 25 |
| 3 | Pelikan | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 28:22 | 21 |
| 5 | Plock II | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24:19 | 21 |
| 6 | Swit Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Zabkovia Zabki | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 21:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 24:22 | 16 |
| 9 | Olimpia Elblag | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18:21 | 16 |
| 10 | Warta Sieradz | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:19 | 15 |
| 11 | LKS Lodz II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Widzew Lodz II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 21:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Olimpia Zambrow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 14 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 21:23 | 13 |
| 15 | Lidzbark Warmimski | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | MKS Mlawa | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 23:34 | 10 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13:26 | 7 |
| 18 | LKS Lomza | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12:28 | 3 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
