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Zacapa vs Xelaju Prediction & H2H Stats

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2024/2025 Estadio David Ordoñez Bardales, Zacapa
Sat, Feb 22, 2025
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zacapa host Xelaju in the Liga Nacional 2024/2025. Xelaju go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Zacapa at 0.36 goals for, 1.86 against; Xelaju at 1.81 for, 1.28 against. Past meetings favor Xelaju slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.42 xG vs 1.24) point toward Xelaju. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Zacapa
30%
Draws
58%
Xelaju
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Xelaju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Xelaju have won more games recently than Zacapa.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Zacapa Clean Sheet 19%
Xelaju Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zacapa Xelaju
Matches Played 14 36
Wins 0 14
Draws 5 11
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.36 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2025 Liga Nacional
Zacapa vs Xelaju
0:0
Oct 6, 2024 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Zacapa
4:0
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Zacapa vs Xelaju
2:1
Mar 28, 2024 Liga Nacional
Zacapa vs Xelaju
1:1
Nov 19, 2023 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Zacapa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zacapa 32 / 100
Xelaju 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zacapa Xelaju

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xelaju's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Zacapa scored in 29% of their last 14 outings.

Recent resilience: Zacapa stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Xelaju
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zacapa

(Home)
24 Nov
Zacapa
1 : 2
Antigua
21 Nov
Zacapa
0 : 1
Deportivo Mixco
10 Nov
Coban Imperial
3 : 1
Zacapa
03 Nov
Zacapa
0 : 0
Comunicaciones
27 Oct
Xinabajul
2 : 0
Zacapa
Page 1 of 3

Xelaju

(Away)
27 Sept
Xelaju
2 : 3
Comunicaciones
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0
Antigua
20 Sept
Suchitepequez
2 : 2
Xelaju
13 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Xelaju
11 Sept
Xelaju
0 : 0
Coban Imperial
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal 20 10 5 5 26:18 35
2 Comunicaciones 20 9 6 5 27:24 33
3 Antigua 20 9 5 6 30:24 32
4 Coban Imperial 20 10 2 8 26:25 32
5 Malacateco 20 8 5 7 30:26 29
6 Guastatoya 20 8 5 7 21:22 29
7 Marquense 20 7 6 7 18:19 27
8 Deportivo Mixco 20 6 7 7 21:23 25
9 Xelaju 20 6 6 8 28:25 24
10 Deportivo Achuapa 20 5 4 11 18:23 19
11 Xinabajul 20 4 5 11 21:37 17
12 Zacapa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)