Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zacatecas Mineros vs Jaiba Brava

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba, Zacatecas
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Perez M.
Assist: Lopez F.
45'
Flores S.
46'
Sub
Perez O. In: Escoboza A.
Out: Perez O.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 game between Zacatecas Mineros and Jaiba Brava finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zacatecas Mineros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Zacatecas Mineros
33%
Draws
40%
Jaiba Brava
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Jaiba Brava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jaiba Brava come out ahead of Zacatecas Mineros on wins alone.
  • Jaiba Brava are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Zacatecas Mineros Clean Sheet 13%
Jaiba Brava Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zacatecas Mineros Jaiba Brava
Matches Played 34 34
Wins 11 17
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Jaiba Brava
1:0
Oct 16, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Jaiba Brava vs Zacatecas Mineros
2:2
May 12, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Jaiba Brava
0:0
May 4, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Jaiba Brava vs Zacatecas Mineros
1:0
Feb 15, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Jaiba Brava
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zacatecas Mineros Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Jaiba Brava Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zacatecas Mineros 27 / 100
Jaiba Brava 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zacatecas Mineros Jaiba Brava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zacatecas Mineros's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Jaiba Brava let in goals in 68% of their last 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Jaiba Brava has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zacatecas Mineros VS Jaiba Brava
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zacatecas Mineros

(Home)
10 Jul
Atletico San Luis
4 : 0
Zacatecas Mineros
04 Jul
Zacatecas Mineros
1 : 3
Juarez
27 Jun
Club Leon
7 : 4
Zacatecas Mineros
04 May
Tepatitlan de Morelos
1 : 1
Zacatecas Mineros
01 May
Zacatecas Mineros
1 : 1
Tepatitlan de Morelos
Page 1 of 7

Jaiba Brava

(Away)
05 Jul
Jaiba Brava
0 : 2
Club America
31 May
Jaiba Brava
4 : 3
Tepatitlan de Morelos
24 May
Tepatitlan de Morelos
3 : 1
Jaiba Brava
17 May
Tepatitlan de Morelos
1 : 0
Jaiba Brava
10 May
Jaiba Brava
0 : 0
Tepatitlan de Morelos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tepatitlan de Morelos1475221:1026
2Cancun1474324:1725
3Club Atletico Morelia1472518:1223
4Atletico La Paz1457222:1222
5Jaiba Brava1463515:1521
6Zacatecas Mineros1463519:2021
7Tapatio1462628:2420
8Atlante1455421:1720
9Irapuato1462627:2420
10Tlaxcala1455416:1720
11Venados FC1444625:2516
12Alebrijes de Oaxaca1444620:2916
13Dorados de Sinaloa1434717:2813
14Correcaminos1433814:2712
15Leones Negros1425715:2511
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)