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Zacatecas Mineros vs Jaiba Brava - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba, Zacatecas
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Rios A.
28'
Mazatan O.
29'
Sub
Padilla P. In: Machado J.
Out: Padilla P.

AI Match Summary

Zacatecas Mineros in this Liga de Expansion MX matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zacatecas Mineros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Zacatecas Mineros
15%
Draws
34%
Jaiba Brava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zacatecas Mineros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jaiba Brava lately — more wins on the board than Zacatecas Mineros.
  • Win probability leans Zacatecas Mineros's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Zacatecas Mineros Clean Sheet 17%
Jaiba Brava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zacatecas Mineros Jaiba Brava
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.66 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Jaiba Brava
2:0
Mar 14, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Jaiba Brava
1:0
Oct 16, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Jaiba Brava vs Zacatecas Mineros
2:2
May 12, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Jaiba Brava
0:0
May 4, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Jaiba Brava vs Zacatecas Mineros
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zacatecas Mineros Compare

Top Goalscorer Carballo E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mazatan O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Jaiba Brava Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zacatecas Mineros 66 / 100
Jaiba Brava 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zacatecas Mineros Jaiba Brava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zacatecas Mineros Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zacatecas Mineros's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Jaiba Brava's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Jaiba Brava's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zacatecas Mineros VS Jaiba Brava
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zacatecas Mineros

(Home)
04 Oct
Alacranes de Durango
4 : 2
Zacatecas Mineros
25 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 0
Piratas
19 Sept
Tepatitlan de Morelos
0 : 1
Zacatecas Mineros
13 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
0 : 1
Club Atletico Morelia
05 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0
Zacatecas Mineros
Page 1 of 6

Jaiba Brava

(Away)
03 Oct
Tepatitlan de Morelos
3 : 1
Jaiba Brava
26 Sept
Correcaminos
1 : 0
Jaiba Brava
20 Sept
Jaiba Brava
1 : 1
Dorados de Sinaloa
12 Sept
Tlaxcala
3 : 1
Jaiba Brava
06 Sept
Jaiba Brava
4 : 3
Venados FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leones Negros 12 7 3 2 28:17 24
2 Atletico La Paz 12 7 2 3 28:15 23
3 Club Atletico Morelia 12 7 2 3 22:13 23
4 Venados FC 12 6 2 4 27:22 20
5 Piratas 12 5 3 4 18:14 18
6 Zacatecas Mineros 11 5 2 4 23:19 17
7 Cancun 11 5 2 4 19:15 17
8 Alacranes de Durango 11 5 2 4 11:11 17
9 Correcaminos 12 4 4 4 20:20 16
10 Tlaxcala 12 4 3 5 23:25 15
11 Tapatio 11 4 2 5 19:19 14
12 Dorados de Sinaloa 11 3 4 4 20:20 13
13 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 12 4 1 7 10:23 13
14 Jaiba Brava 11 3 2 6 12:19 11
15 Cruz Azul Hidalgo 11 1 5 5 11:18 8
16 Tepatitlan de Morelos 11 2 1 8 9:30 7
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)