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Zacatecas Mineros vs Venados FC

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Mazatan O.
Assist: Machado J.
35'
Mendoza A.
43'
Lora S.

AI Match Summary

Zacatecas Mineros host Venados FC in the Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026. This one's hard to separate. Venados FC have shipped 1.33 goals a game lately, while Zacatecas Mineros have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.63. Past meetings favor Venados FC slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.48 vs 1.38, favoring Venados FC. Venados FC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Zacatecas Mineros
6%
Draws
90%
Venados FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Venados FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Zacatecas Mineros has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Venados FC.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Venados FC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Zacatecas Mineros Clean Sheet 17%
Venados FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zacatecas Mineros Venados FC
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Venados FC
2:0
Sep 21, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Venados FC vs Zacatecas Mineros
4:3
Apr 28, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Venados FC
2:0
Apr 25, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Venados FC vs Zacatecas Mineros
2:0
Mar 29, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Venados FC vs Zacatecas Mineros
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zacatecas Mineros Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazatan O.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Venados FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zacatecas Mineros 10 / 100
Venados FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zacatecas Mineros Venados FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zacatecas Mineros scored in 74% of their last 35 games.

Venados FC let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Zacatecas Mineros went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Venados FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zacatecas Mineros VS Venados FC
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 33%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tepatitlan de Morelos1475221:1026
2Cancun1474324:1725
3Club Atletico Morelia1472518:1223
4Atletico La Paz1457222:1222
5Jaiba Brava1463515:1521
6Zacatecas Mineros1463519:2021
7Tapatio1462628:2420
8Atlante1455421:1720
9Irapuato1462627:2420
10Tlaxcala1455416:1720
11Venados FC1444625:2516
12Alebrijes de Oaxaca1444620:2916
13Dorados de Sinaloa1434717:2813
14Correcaminos1433814:2712
15Leones Negros1425715:2511