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Zadar vs Lucko

Croatia Croatia

2. HNL 2018/2019
Zadar Logo

Zadar

2 - 1
FT
Lucko Logo

Lucko

Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Knezevic L.
54' Event
Kaltak H.
68' Event
Blazevic V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zadar in this 2. HNL 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zadar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Zadar
20%
Draws
36%
Lucko
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zadar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zadar lately — more wins on the board than Lucko.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 2. HNL 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Zadar Clean Sheet 25%
Lucko Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zadar Lucko
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.33 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2019 Prva NL
Zadar vs Lucko
2:1
Sep 23, 2018 Prva NL
Lucko vs Zadar
2:2
May 21, 2016 Prva NL
Lucko vs Zadar
5:0
Nov 14, 2015 Prva NL
Lucko vs Zadar
1:0
Sep 12, 2015 Prva NL
Zadar vs Lucko
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zadar Compare

Top Goalscorer Knezevic L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Blazevic V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Lucko Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaltak H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zadar 33 / 100
Lucko 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zadar Lucko

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lucko Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucko has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Zadar scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Zadar remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lucko
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zadar

(Home)
07 Oct
GOSK Dubrovnik
3 : 0
Zadar
23 Oct
Zadar
0 : 3
Osijek
25 Sept
Zagora
1 : 2
Zadar
25 May
Medjimurje
4 : 1
Zadar
18 May
Zadar
5 : 1
Solin
Page 1 of 6

Lucko

(Away)
18 Sept
Lucko
0 : 1
Dugo Selo
11 Sept
Uljanik Pula
2 : 2
Lucko
04 Sept
Lucko
0 : 1
Solin
29 Aug
Dragovoljac
0 : 3
Lucko
22 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Jarun
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Varazdin 26 16 3 7 40:30 51
2 Sibenik 26 13 7 6 38:25 46
3 Osijek 2 26 13 5 8 37:26 44
4 Dugopolje 26 13 4 9 29:25 43
5 Hajduk Split 2 26 12 7 7 36:29 43
6 Sesvete 26 11 7 8 38:26 40
7 Dinamo Zagreb 2 26 10 7 9 31:26 37
8 Zadar 26 9 7 10 36:40 34
9 Bijelo Brdo 26 6 10 10 31:37 28
10 Solin 26 5 13 8 24:31 28
11 Kustosija 26 7 7 12 20:28 28
12 Dragovoljac 26 7 6 13 23:29 27
13 Medjimurje 26 6 7 13 26:42 25
14 Lucko 26 6 6 14 16:31 24
Promotion - 1. HNL 2019/2020 (Main)
Promotion - 1. HNL 2018/2019 (Relegation)