Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zadar vs Varazdin

Croatia Croatia

2. HNL 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Zupan D.
(Penalty)
70' Event
Repic A.
77' Event
Repic A.

AI Match Summary

The 2. HNL 2018/2019 game between Zadar and Varazdin finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zadar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Zadar
30%
Draws
42%
Varazdin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varazdin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Varazdin come out ahead of Zadar on wins alone.
  • Model gives Varazdin a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2. HNL 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Zadar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Zadar Clean Sheet 18%
Varazdin Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zadar Varazdin
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 11 20
Draws 5 9
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.33 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2019 Prva NL
Zadar vs Varazdin
3:0
Oct 20, 2018 Prva NL
Varazdin vs Zadar
2:2
Oct 29, 2014 Croatian Cup
Zadar vs Varazdin
5:1
Mar 21, 2012 HNL
Zadar vs Varazdin
2:0
Aug 7, 2011 HNL
Varazdin vs Zadar
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zadar Compare

Top Goalscorer Repic A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Varazdin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zadar 20 / 100
Varazdin 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zadar Varazdin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varazdin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Zadar found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Varazdin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 36 matches.

Recent resilience: Zadar stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Varazdin
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zadar

(Home)
07 Oct
GOSK Dubrovnik
3 : 0
Zadar
23 Oct
Zadar
0 : 3
Osijek
25 Sept
Zagora
1 : 2
Zadar
25 May
Medjimurje
4 : 1
Zadar
18 May
Zadar
5 : 1
Solin
Page 1 of 6

Varazdin

(Away)
19 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Osijek
14 Sept
HNK Gorica
2 : 2
Varazdin
09 Sept
Zagora
0 : 4
Varazdin
04 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Istra 1961
29 Aug
Varazdin
2 : 0
Rudes
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Varazdin 26 16 3 7 40:30 51
2 Sibenik 26 13 7 6 38:25 46
3 Osijek 2 26 13 5 8 37:26 44
4 Dugopolje 26 13 4 9 29:25 43
5 Hajduk Split 2 26 12 7 7 36:29 43
6 Sesvete 26 11 7 8 38:26 40
7 Dinamo Zagreb 2 26 10 7 9 31:26 37
8 Zadar 26 9 7 10 36:40 34
9 Bijelo Brdo 26 6 10 10 31:37 28
10 Solin 26 5 13 8 24:31 28
11 Kustosija 26 7 7 12 20:28 28
12 Dragovoljac 26 7 6 13 23:29 27
13 Medjimurje 26 6 7 13 26:42 25
14 Lucko 26 6 6 14 16:31 24
Promotion - 1. HNL 2019/2020 (Main)
Promotion - 1. HNL 2018/2019 (Relegation)