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Stadium Background

Zaglebie II vs BKS Sparta Katowice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III KGHM Zaglebie Arena, Lubin
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Match Events

64' Event
Ziolkowski M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III game between Zaglebie II and BKS Sparta Katowice finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zaglebie II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Zaglebie II
35%
Draws
35%
BKS Sparta Katowice
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and BKS Sparta Katowice come out ahead of Zaglebie II on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Zaglebie II have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Zaglebie II Clean Sheet 15%
BKS Sparta Katowice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zaglebie II BKS Sparta Katowice
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.66 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Zaglebie II vs BKS Sparta Katowice
1:0
Nov 21, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Zaglebie II vs BKS Sparta Katowice
2:0
Aug 2, 2025 III Liga - Group III
BKS Sparta Katowice vs Zaglebie II
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zaglebie II Compare

Top Goalscorer Ziolkowski M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

BKS Sparta Katowice Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaglebie II 30 / 100
BKS Sparta Katowice 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zaglebie II BKS Sparta Katowice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zaglebie II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zaglebie II went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Zaglebie II found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

BKS Sparta Katowice has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Zaglebie II VS BKS Sparta Katowice
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zaglebie II

(Home)
10 Oct
Bytom Odrzanski
1 : 1
Zaglebie II
02 Oct
Zaglebie II
1 : 1
Polkowice
26 Sept
Barycz Sulow
3 : 3
Zaglebie II
18 Sept
Zaglebie II
3 : 0
Carina Gubin
12 Sept
ROW Rybnik
2 : 2
Zaglebie II
Page 1 of 6

BKS Sparta Katowice

(Away)
10 Oct
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
1 : 0
BKS Sparta Katowice
03 Oct
BKS Sparta Katowice
1 : 1
Warta Gorzow
26 Sept
Legnica II
0 : 2
BKS Sparta Katowice
19 Sept
BKS Sparta Katowice
2 : 1
Kluczbork
13 Sept
RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
1 : 1
BKS Sparta Katowice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaglebie II 12 6 6 0 24:14 24
2 Bytom Odrzanski 12 7 3 2 13:6 24
3 BKS Sparta Katowice 12 7 3 2 19:8 24
4 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 11 7 1 3 16:9 22
5 Barycz Sulow 12 6 3 3 19:14 21
6 ROW Rybnik 12 6 2 4 25:19 20
7 Polkowice 12 5 3 4 23:19 18
8 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 12 5 3 4 13:9 18
9 Legnica II 12 5 2 5 27:22 17
10 Stilon Gorzow 12 4 4 4 20:19 16
11 Warta Gorzow 12 3 5 4 11:18 14
12 Goczalkowice Zdroj 12 3 3 6 11:16 12
13 Kluczbork 11 4 0 7 10:18 12
14 Brzeg 12 3 3 6 19:18 12
15 Polonia Nysa 12 3 2 7 13:24 11
16 Sleza Wroclaw 12 3 1 8 18:28 10
17 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
18 Carina Gubin 12 2 3 7 8:22 9
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)