Sport Picks
Zaglebie II vs Carina Gubin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group III KGHM Zaglebie Arena, Lubin 
Match Events
29'
29'
Nowogonski D.
77'
77'
Kolodziejski F.
85'
85'
Nowogonski D.
AI Match Summary
Zaglebie II in this III Liga - Group III matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zaglebie II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zaglebie II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Zaglebie II have won more games recently than Carina Gubin.
- Model gives Zaglebie II a 45% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Zaglebie II Clean Sheet 20%
Carina Gubin Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zaglebie II | Carina Gubin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Zaglebie II vs Carina Gubin
3:0
May 12, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Zaglebie II vs Carina Gubin
1:4
Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Zaglebie II vs Carina Gubin
4:1
Oct 24, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Carina Gubin vs Zaglebie II
1:0
Feb 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Zaglebie II vs Carina Gubin
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zaglebie II Compare
Top Goalscorer Nowogonski D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Kolodziejski F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16
Carina Gubin Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zaglebie II 85 / 100
Carina Gubin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zaglebie II Carina Gubin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Zaglebie II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Zaglebie II has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Zaglebie II found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Carina Gubin has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Zaglebie II VS Carina Gubin
2.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Zaglebie II
(Home) 02 Oct
Zaglebie II
1 : 1 Polkowice
26 Sept
Barycz Sulow
3 : 3 Zaglebie II
18 Sept
Zaglebie II
3 : 0 Carina Gubin
12 Sept
ROW Rybnik
2 : 2 Zaglebie II
05 Sept
Zaglebie II
1 : 0 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Zaglebie II
1 : 1 Polkowice
18 Sept
Zaglebie II
3 : 0 Carina Gubin
05 Sept
Zaglebie II
1 : 0 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
22 Aug
Zaglebie II
3 : 2 Legnica II
16 Aug
Zaglebie II
2 : 2 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
Page 1 of 4
Carina Gubin
(Away) 03 Oct
Brzeg
0 : 1 Carina Gubin
26 Sept
Carina Gubin
1 : 3 Stilon Gorzow
18 Sept
Zaglebie II
3 : 0 Carina Gubin
11 Sept
Carina Gubin
1 : 1 Bytom Odrzanski
06 Sept
Polkowice
2 : 1 Carina Gubin
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Brzeg
0 : 1 Carina Gubin
18 Sept
Zaglebie II
3 : 0 Carina Gubin
06 Sept
Polkowice
2 : 1 Carina Gubin
19 Aug
ROW Rybnik
4 : 0 Carina Gubin
08 Aug
Warta Gorzow
2 : 1 Carina Gubin
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaglebie II | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 24:14 | 24 |
| 2 | Bytom Odrzanski | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 13:6 | 24 |
| 3 | BKS Sparta Katowice | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19:8 | 24 |
| 4 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16:9 | 22 |
| 5 | Barycz Sulow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19:14 | 21 |
| 6 | ROW Rybnik | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 25:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Polkowice | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23:19 | 18 |
| 8 | Karkonosze Jelenia Gora | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13:9 | 18 |
| 9 | Legnica II | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 27:22 | 17 |
| 10 | Stilon Gorzow | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Warta Gorzow | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:18 | 14 |
| 12 | Goczalkowice Zdroj | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Kluczbork | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 10:18 | 12 |
| 14 | Brzeg | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Polonia Nysa | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13:24 | 11 |
| 16 | Sleza Wroclaw | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 18:28 | 10 |
| 17 | RKS Rakow Czestochowa II | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:19 | 9 |
| 18 | Carina Gubin | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8:22 | 9 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
