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Zaglebie II vs Gornik Zabrze II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 KGHM Zaglebie Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Plocica M.
(Penalty)
61' Event
Bedronka M.
69' Event
Skiba D.

AI Match Summary

Zaglebie II play Gornik Zabrze II in the III Liga - Group III 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zaglebie II averaged 1.75 goals scored and 2.38 conceded. Gornik Zabrze II averaged 2.25 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Zaglebie II won 2, Gornik Zabrze II won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Zaglebie II and 2.31 for Gornik Zabrze II. This points to a Zaglebie II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Zaglebie II
33%
Draws
40%
Gornik Zabrze II
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gornik Zabrze II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Gornik Zabrze II demonstrates higher offensive output (2.25 avg goals) than Zaglebie II (1.75 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Gornik Zabrze II.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Zaglebie II Clean Sheet 10%
Gornik Zabrze II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zaglebie II Gornik Zabrze II
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Zaglebie II vs Gornik Zabrze II
0:5
Sep 28, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Gornik Zabrze II vs Zaglebie II
1:1
May 28, 2022 III Liga - Group III
Zaglebie II vs Gornik Zabrze II
5:1
Oct 24, 2021 III Liga - Group III
Gornik Zabrze II vs Zaglebie II
1:1
Mar 31, 2021 III Liga - Group III
Zaglebie II vs Gornik Zabrze II
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zaglebie II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Gornik Zabrze II Compare

Top Goalscorer Skiba D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bedronka M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaglebie II 26 / 100
Gornik Zabrze II 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zaglebie II Gornik Zabrze II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zaglebie II scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Gornik Zabrze II let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Zaglebie II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Gornik Zabrze II lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zaglebie II VS Gornik Zabrze II
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057