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Stadium Background

Zaglebie II vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III KGHM Zaglebie Arena, Lubin
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Nowogonski D.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III game between Zaglebie II and Karkonosze Jelenia Gora finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zaglebie II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Zaglebie II
35%
Draws
37%
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Karkonosze Jelenia Gora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Karkonosze Jelenia Gora carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Zaglebie II Clean Sheet 19%
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zaglebie II Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.66 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Zaglebie II vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
1:0
Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Zaglebie II vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
0:4
Apr 4, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Zaglebie II vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
1:1
Sep 12, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs Zaglebie II
2:2
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Zaglebie II vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zaglebie II Compare

Top Goalscorer Nowogonski D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaglebie II 31 / 100
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zaglebie II Karkonosze Jelenia Gora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zaglebie II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zaglebie II has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Zaglebie II scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Zaglebie II VS Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zaglebie II

(Home)
10 Oct
Bytom Odrzanski
1 : 1
Zaglebie II
02 Oct
Zaglebie II
1 : 1
Polkowice
26 Sept
Barycz Sulow
3 : 3
Zaglebie II
18 Sept
Zaglebie II
3 : 0
Carina Gubin
12 Sept
ROW Rybnik
2 : 2
Zaglebie II
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Karkonosze Jelenia Gora

(Away)
10 Oct
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
1 : 0
BKS Sparta Katowice
03 Oct
Sleza Wroclaw
2 : 0
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
26 Sept
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
2 : 0
Goczalkowice Zdroj
19 Sept
Brzeg
1 : 0
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
13 Sept
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
4 : 2
Stilon Gorzow
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaglebie II 12 6 6 0 24:14 24
2 Bytom Odrzanski 12 7 3 2 13:6 24
3 BKS Sparta Katowice 12 7 3 2 19:8 24
4 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 11 7 1 3 16:9 22
5 Barycz Sulow 12 6 3 3 19:14 21
6 ROW Rybnik 12 6 2 4 25:19 20
7 Polkowice 12 5 3 4 23:19 18
8 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 12 5 3 4 13:9 18
9 Legnica II 12 5 2 5 27:22 17
10 Stilon Gorzow 12 4 4 4 20:19 16
11 Warta Gorzow 12 3 5 4 11:18 14
12 Goczalkowice Zdroj 12 3 3 6 11:16 12
13 Kluczbork 11 4 0 7 10:18 12
14 Brzeg 12 3 3 6 19:18 12
15 Polonia Nysa 12 3 2 7 13:24 11
16 Sleza Wroclaw 12 3 1 8 18:28 10
17 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
18 Carina Gubin 12 2 3 7 8:22 9
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)