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Zaglebie II vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III KGHM Zaglebie Arena, Lubin
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zaglebie II host Zaglebie Sosnowiec in the III Liga - Group III. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Zaglebie Sosnowiec have shipped 1.44 goals a game lately, while Zaglebie II have conceded 1.86 and scored 1.76. Past meetings favor Zaglebie Sosnowiec slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2025, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.69 - 1.44) back Zaglebie II to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Zaglebie II
30%
Draws
35%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Zaglebie II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Zaglebie II's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Zaglebie II Clean Sheet 16%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zaglebie II Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.76 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 Division 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Zaglebie II
3:1
Aug 11, 2024 Division 2
Zaglebie II vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaglebie II 48 / 100
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zaglebie II Zaglebie Sosnowiec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zaglebie II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Zaglebie II remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Zaglebie II found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Zaglebie Sosnowiec let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Zaglebie II VS Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zaglebie II

(Home)
02 Oct
Zaglebie II
1 : 1
Polkowice
26 Sept
Barycz Sulow
3 : 3
Zaglebie II
18 Sept
Zaglebie II
3 : 0
Carina Gubin
12 Sept
ROW Rybnik
2 : 2
Zaglebie II
05 Sept
Zaglebie II
1 : 0
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
Page 1 of 6

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

(Away)
03 Oct
Bytom Odrzanski
0 : 1
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
26 Sept
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2 : 4
Legia
18 Sept
Polkowice
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
12 Sept
Polonia Nysa
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
05 Sept
Barycz Sulow
1 : 0
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BKS Sparta Katowice 11 7 3 1 19:7 24
2 Zaglebie II 11 6 5 0 23:13 23
3 Bytom Odrzanski 11 7 2 2 12:5 23
4 Barycz Sulow 11 6 2 3 18:13 20
5 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 10 6 1 3 15:9 19
6 Polkowice 12 5 3 4 23:19 18
7 Legnica II 12 5 2 5 27:22 17
8 ROW Rybnik 11 5 2 4 23:18 17
9 Stilon Gorzow 12 4 4 4 20:19 16
10 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 11 4 3 4 12:9 15
11 Warta Gorzow 11 3 5 3 11:17 14
12 Kluczbork 10 4 0 6 10:17 12
13 Brzeg 11 3 2 6 18:17 11
14 Goczalkowice Zdroj 11 3 2 6 11:16 11
15 Sleza Wroclaw 11 3 1 7 17:26 10
16 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
17 Polonia Nysa 11 2 2 7 12:24 8
18 Carina Gubin 11 2 2 7 8:22 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)