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Stadium Background

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Goczalkowice Zdroj - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III ArcelorMittal Park, Sosnowiec
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Gogol P.
80' Event
Barc M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III game between Zaglebie Sosnowiec and Goczalkowice Zdroj finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zaglebie Sosnowiec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
15%
Draws
21%
Goczalkowice Zdroj
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zaglebie Sosnowiec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Zaglebie Sosnowiec carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Zaglebie Sosnowiec's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec Clean Sheet 68%
Goczalkowice Zdroj Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zaglebie Sosnowiec Goczalkowice Zdroj
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zaglebie Sosnowiec Compare

Top Goalscorer Gogol P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Goczalkowice Zdroj Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 86 / 100
Goczalkowice Zdroj 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zaglebie Sosnowiec Goczalkowice Zdroj

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zaglebie Sosnowiec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zaglebie Sosnowiec's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Goczalkowice Zdroj has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Zaglebie Sosnowiec went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zaglebie Sosnowiec VS Goczalkowice Zdroj
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

(Home)
10 Oct
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1 : 0
Kluczbork
03 Oct
Bytom Odrzanski
0 : 1
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
26 Sept
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2 : 4
Legia
18 Sept
Polkowice
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
12 Sept
Polonia Nysa
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
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Goczalkowice Zdroj

(Away)
10 Oct
Carina Gubin
0 : 0
Goczalkowice Zdroj
03 Oct
Goczalkowice Zdroj
0 : 1
ROW Rybnik
26 Sept
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
2 : 0
Goczalkowice Zdroj
19 Sept
Goczalkowice Zdroj
4 : 1
Warta Gorzow
12 Sept
Legnica II
5 : 0
Goczalkowice Zdroj
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaglebie II 12 6 6 0 24:14 24
2 Bytom Odrzanski 12 7 3 2 13:6 24
3 BKS Sparta Katowice 12 7 3 2 19:8 24
4 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 11 7 1 3 16:9 22
5 Barycz Sulow 12 6 3 3 19:14 21
6 ROW Rybnik 12 6 2 4 25:19 20
7 Polkowice 12 5 3 4 23:19 18
8 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 12 5 3 4 13:9 18
9 Legnica II 12 5 2 5 27:22 17
10 Stilon Gorzow 12 4 4 4 20:19 16
11 Warta Gorzow 12 3 5 4 11:18 14
12 Goczalkowice Zdroj 12 3 3 6 11:16 12
13 Kluczbork 11 4 0 7 10:18 12
14 Brzeg 12 3 3 6 19:18 12
15 Polonia Nysa 12 3 2 7 13:24 11
16 Sleza Wroclaw 12 3 1 8 18:28 10
17 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
18 Carina Gubin 12 2 3 7 8:22 9
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)