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Stadium Background

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs KKS Kalisz

Poland Poland

Division 2 2025/2026 ArcelorMittal Park
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Flak J.
40' Event
Gogol P.
62'
Sub
Zawojski B. In: Dziedzic I.
Out: Zawojski B.

AI Match Summary

Zaglebie Sosnowiec host KKS Kalisz in the Division 2 2025/2026. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Zaglebie Sosnowiec have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against KKS Kalisz's 1.38 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Zaglebie Sosnowiec have won 3 to KKS Kalisz's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.31 - 1.31) back Zaglebie Sosnowiec to edge this. Zaglebie Sosnowiec in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
11%
Draws
9%
KKS Kalisz
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Zaglebie Sosnowiec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Zaglebie Sosnowiec has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to KKS Kalisz.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Zaglebie Sosnowiec.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 2 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec Clean Sheet 18%
KKS Kalisz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zaglebie Sosnowiec KKS Kalisz
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs KKS Kalisz
3:0
May 22, 2026 Division 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs KKS Kalisz
3:0
Nov 9, 2025 Division 2
KKS Kalisz vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1:1
Mar 22, 2025 Division 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs KKS Kalisz
0:1
Aug 25, 2024 Division 2
KKS Kalisz vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zaglebie Sosnowiec Compare

Top Goalscorer Gogol P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dziedzic I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

KKS Kalisz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 76 / 100
KKS Kalisz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zaglebie Sosnowiec KKS Kalisz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zaglebie Sosnowiec scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

KKS Kalisz let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Zaglebie Sosnowiec went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

KKS Kalisz lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zaglebie Sosnowiec VS KKS Kalisz
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Unia Skierniewice34215869:4568
2Warta Poznan341713457:3764
3Ol. Grudziadz341810669:4264
4Podbeskidzie341771064:4358
5Slask Wroclaw II341671165:4955
6Sandecja Nowy S.341413754:4055
7Podhale Nowy Targ341314746:3553
8Chojniczanka3414101058:4752
9Rekord Bielsko-Biala3412101245:4846
10Stal Stalowa Wola341016856:4346
11Hutnik Krakow3412101247:4046
12Swit Szczecin341281451:5944
13R. Rzeszow3410121248:4742
14Kleczew341071747:6237
15Zaglebie Sosnowiec34971837:6134
16KKS Kalisz348101637:5534
17LKS Lodz II345101933:6425
18GKS Jastrzebie34072718:846