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Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Legia

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Club Friendly ArcelorMittal Park, Sosnowiec
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Zaglebie Sosnowiec and Legia finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Legia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
15%
Draws
53%
Legia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Legia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Legia come out ahead of Zaglebie Sosnowiec on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Legia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec Clean Sheet 17%
Legia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zaglebie Sosnowiec Legia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 18
Draws 4 9
Losses 16 3
Goals Scored 1.28 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.62 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Legia
2:4
Dec 20, 2018 Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Legia
2:3
Aug 19, 2018 Ekstraklasa
Legia vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2:1
Mar 25, 2017 Club Friendly
Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Legia
1:2
Mar 7, 2008 Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Legia
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 31 / 100
Legia 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zaglebie Sosnowiec Legia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Zaglebie Sosnowiec's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Legia conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Zaglebie Sosnowiec stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zaglebie Sosnowiec VS Legia
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

(Home)
26 Sept
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2 : 4
Legia
18 Sept
Polkowice
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
12 Sept
Polonia Nysa
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
05 Sept
Barycz Sulow
1 : 0
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
29 Aug
BKS Sparta Katowice
1 : 0
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
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Legia

(Away)
26 Sept
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2 : 4
Legia
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3
Legia
13 Sept
Legia
1 : 1
Widzew Lodz
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3
Legia
01 Sept
Motor Lublin
3 : 0
Legia
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