Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Stal Stalowa Wola

Poland Poland

Division 2 2025/2026 ArcelorMittal Park, Sosnowiec
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Janiszewski G.
24'
Furtak L.
37'
Gryszkiewicz A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2025/2026 game between Zaglebie Sosnowiec and Stal Stalowa Wola finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
44%
Draws
20%
Stal Stalowa Wola
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Stal Stalowa Wola carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec Clean Sheet 12%
Stal Stalowa Wola Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zaglebie Sosnowiec Stal Stalowa Wola
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 7 8
Draws 4 13
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Division 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Stal Stalowa Wola
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Division 2
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2:0
May 2, 2015 Division 2
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1:1
Oct 4, 2014 Division 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Stal Stalowa Wola
1:1
Oct 27, 2009 Polish Cup
Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Stal Stalowa Wola
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 35 / 100
Stal Stalowa Wola 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zaglebie Sosnowiec Stal Stalowa Wola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zaglebie Sosnowiec scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Stal Stalowa Wola conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Zaglebie Sosnowiec remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zaglebie Sosnowiec VS Stal Stalowa Wola
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

(Home)
25 Jul
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1 : 1
Sleza Wroclaw
24 Jul
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
4 : 2
BKS Sarmacja Bedzin
18 Jul
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1 : 4
Podhale Nowy Targ
15 Jul
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0 : 2
Polonia Nysa
11 Jul
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
3 : 0
KKS Kalisz
Page 1 of 6

Stal Stalowa Wola

(Away)
25 Jul
Legia II
0 : 2
Stal Stalowa Wola
18 Jul
Stal Stalowa Wola
2 : 1
Widzew Lodz II
11 Jul
Stal Stalowa Wola
2 : 2
Avia Swidnik
30 May
Hutnik Krakow
0 : 1
Stal Stalowa Wola
23 May
Stal Stalowa Wola
3 : 0
GKS Jastrzebie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Unia Skierniewice34215869:4568
2Warta Poznan341713457:3764
3Ol. Grudziadz341810669:4264
4Podbeskidzie341771064:4358
5Slask Wroclaw II341671165:4955
6Sandecja Nowy S.341413754:4055
7Podhale Nowy Targ341314746:3553
8Chojniczanka3414101058:4752
9Rekord Bielsko-Biala3412101245:4846
10Stal Stalowa Wola341016856:4346
11Hutnik Krakow3412101247:4046
12Swit Szczecin341281451:5944
13R. Rzeszow3410121248:4742
14Kleczew341071747:6237
15Zaglebie Sosnowiec34971837:6134
16KKS Kalisz348101637:5534
17LKS Lodz II345101933:6425
18GKS Jastrzebie34072718:846
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)