Sport Picks

Poland

Division 2 2025/2026 ArcelorMittal Park

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

2 - 2

Warta Poznan

Our Tip

Match Events

Szymanek K.

40'

Steblecki S.

40'

Barc M.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

39%

Draws

31%

Warta Poznan

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Zaglebie Sosnowiec haven't matched Warta Poznan's recent run of results.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Zaglebie Sosnowiec Clean Sheet 16%

Warta Poznan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	Warta Poznan
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	6	12
Draws	5	9
Losses	18	7
Goals Scored	1.25	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Division 2

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Poznan

Possession: 60% - 57% Cards: 1 - 3

2:2

Sep 7, 2025 Division 2

Warta Poznan vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec

Possession: 58% - 45% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Jul 10, 2020 Division 1

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Poznan

Possession: 42% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

0:2

Oct 19, 2019 Division 1

Warta Poznan vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec

Possession: 50% - 42% Cards: 2 - 3

2:3

Nov 22, 2013 Division 2 - West

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Poznan

Possession: 52% - 42% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zaglebie Sosnowiec Compare

Top Goalscorer Barc M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Warta Poznan Compare

Top Goalscorer Szymanek K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Stefaniak M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 30 / 100

Warta Poznan 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Zaglebie Sosnowiec Warta Poznan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAG Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zaglebie Sosnowiec scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Warta Poznan has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Warta Poznan registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zaglebie Sosnowiec VS Warta Poznan

1.25 Goals Scored 1.13

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Unia Skierniewice	34	21	5	8	69:45	68
2	Warta Poznan	34	17	13	4	57:37	64
3	Ol. Grudziadz	34	18	10	6	69:42	64
4	Podbeskidzie	34	17	7	10	64:43	58
5	Slask Wroclaw II	34	16	7	11	65:49	55
6	Sandecja Nowy S.	34	14	13	7	54:40	55
7	Podhale Nowy Targ	34	13	14	7	46:35	53
8	Chojniczanka	34	14	10	10	58:47	52
9	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	34	12	10	12	45:48	46
10	Stal Stalowa Wola	34	10	16	8	56:43	46
11	Hutnik Krakow	34	12	10	12	47:40	46
12	Swit Szczecin	34	12	8	14	51:59	44
13	R. Rzeszow	34	10	12	12	48:47	42
14	Kleczew	34	10	7	17	47:62	37
15	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	34	9	7	18	37:61	34
16	KKS Kalisz	34	8	10	16	37:55	34
17	LKS Lodz II	34	5	10	19	33:64	25
18	GKS Jastrzebie	34	0	7	27	18:84	6