Sport Picks
Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Poznan Prediction & H2H Stats
Poland
Division 2 2025/2026 ArcelorMittal Park, Sosnowiec 
Match Events
6'
6'
Szymanek K.
40'
40'
Steblecki S.
40'
40'
Barc M.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Zaglebie Sosnowiec haven't matched Warta Poznan's recent run of results.
- Warta Poznan are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec Clean Sheet 16%
Warta Poznan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | Warta Poznan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Division 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Poznan
2:2
Sep 7, 2025 Division 2
Warta Poznan vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1:0
Jul 10, 2020 Division 1
Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Poznan
0:2
Oct 19, 2019 Division 1
Warta Poznan vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2:3
Nov 22, 2013 Division 2 - West
Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Poznan
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zaglebie Sosnowiec Compare
Top Goalscorer Barc M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Warta Poznan Compare
Top Goalscorer Szymanek K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Stefaniak M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 28 / 100
Warta Poznan 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zaglebie Sosnowiec Warta Poznan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Warta Poznan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Zaglebie Sosnowiec scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Warta Poznan has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Zaglebie Sosnowiec has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Zaglebie Sosnowiec VS Warta Poznan
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
(Home) 03 Oct
Bytom Odrzanski
0 : 1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec
26 Sept
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2 : 4 Legia
18 Sept
Polkowice
1 : 2 Zaglebie Sosnowiec
12 Sept
Polonia Nysa
1 : 2 Zaglebie Sosnowiec
05 Sept
Barycz Sulow
1 : 0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2 : 4 Legia
19 Aug
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
3 : 1 Sleza Wroclaw
09 Aug
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2 : 0 Goczalkowice Zdroj
25 Jul
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1 : 1 Sleza Wroclaw
24 Jul
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
4 : 2 BKS Sarmacja Bedzin
Page 1 of 3
Warta Poznan
(Away) 03 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
1 : 3 Warta Poznan
18 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 2 Puszcza
12 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 0 Arka Gdynia
04 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 0 Warta Poznan
30 Aug
Legnica
2 : 1 Warta Poznan
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
1 : 3 Warta Poznan
04 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 0 Warta Poznan
30 Aug
Legnica
2 : 1 Warta Poznan
21 Aug
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 1 Warta Poznan
15 Aug
Odra Opole
3 : 1 Warta Poznan
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Unia Skierniewice | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 69:45 | 68 |
| 2 | Warta Poznan | 34 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 57:37 | 64 |
| 3 | Ol. Grudziadz | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 69:42 | 64 |
| 4 | Podbeskidzie | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 64:43 | 58 |
| 5 | Slask Wroclaw II | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 65:49 | 55 |
| 6 | Sandecja Nowy S. | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 54:40 | 55 |
| 7 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 46:35 | 53 |
| 8 | Chojniczanka | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58:47 | 52 |
| 9 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 45:48 | 46 |
| 10 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 56:43 | 46 |
| 11 | Hutnik Krakow | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:40 | 46 |
| 12 | Swit Szczecin | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 51:59 | 44 |
| 13 | R. Rzeszow | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 48:47 | 42 |
| 14 | Kleczew | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 47:62 | 37 |
| 15 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:61 | 34 |
| 16 | KKS Kalisz | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 37:55 | 34 |
| 17 | LKS Lodz II | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 33:64 | 25 |
| 18 | GKS Jastrzebie | 34 | 0 | 7 | 27 | 18:84 | 6 |
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
